The Crypto market has fallen since May 24 and has accelerated its decline this week, likely due to escalating tensions between Israel, the U.S., and Iran.
Even though the market is down, crypto news has been positive since the U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act, the first comprehensive legislation for fiat-backed stablecoins.
The FOMC meeting is today, and the Federal Reserve will likely keep interest rates constant. A rate increase or decrease could cause the market to move in the opposite direction.
With numerous catalysts hovering over the market, let’s analyze a few charts and see the most likely future outlook.
The Crypto Total Market Cap (TOTALCAP) increased by 50% between April 7 and May 23.
However, it has fallen 8% since, trading inside the $3.20 trillion horizontal support area.
Before the crash, the RSI and MACD generated bearish divergences (orange), often occurring before trend reversals.
The wave count strengthened the signal, showing a completed five-wave upward movement (green).
However, the price movement since the decline has not been that bearish. On the contrary, TOTALCAP bounced on June 5 (green icon) and reclaimed the $3.20 trillion horizontal support area.

Furthermore, technical indicators have reset, with the RSI at 50 and the MACD at 0.
As a result, the price action is unclear as to whether TOTALCAP will break down or bounce at $3.20 trillion.
The shorter-term six-hour chart suggests a bounce is close, but indicates the market is still correcting.
According to the wave count, TOTALCAP is in wave B of an A-B-C corrective structure, which could develop into a triangle structure.
In the past ten days, TOTALCAP has created a double bottom pattern (green icons) combined with bullish divergences in the RSI and MACD (orange).

This predicts a rally toward the triangle resistance trend line at $3.35 trillion.
So, while the trend may still be bearish, TOTALCAP will likely bounce in the short term.
The Crypto market is down this week and risks breaking down from a horizontal support area.
However, TOTALCAP has created a bullish pattern, and the divergences suggest that a rally is close.
A short-term upward movement toward $3.35 trillion could occur soon.
Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.
He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.
Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.
He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.
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