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PPI Inflation Comes Out While GDP Report is Cancelled — How Will the Markets React?

Published 25 November 2025
Valdrin Tahiri
Authors
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • The PPI report came out at 2.6%, better than expected.
  • The Stock market rallied yesterday and hit resistance today.
  • How will the global markets react to the PPI report?

Traders are on high alert today as the latest inflation print is better than expected.

Many are asking what the PPI report is and why markets react so strongly to it.

The Producer Price Index came in at 2.6 percent, and with the U.S. government delaying its GDP report, the PPI has suddenly become the market’s primary signal.

The next move in stocks could hinge entirely on how traders interpret today’s data.

What Is The PPI Report?

The PPI is a measure of inflation at the producer level.

Although it carries less weight than the CPI, it remains essential for the markets.

The PPI expectation is at 2.7%.

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If it comes in lower than expected, markets often rally.

If it comes in higher, markets usually react negatively.

The PPI is not only necessary due to its impact on the markets, but also because it could influence the Fed’s December rate policy.

A higher-than-expected PPI will make it more difficult to do another rate cut.

As for its effects on the market, users are speculating that BlackRock’s recent selling is evidence of insider trading and that the PPI report will be worse than expected.

No GDP Report

While the PPI report is coming out, the Q3 GDP report will not be released.

The official reason is that the shutdown prevented the government from collecting data.

But not everyone is convinced.

Some users believe that U.S. President Trump wants to lower interest rates, hence he will not publish the report.

Others have noted how rare this is:

This is the first time in HISTORY that both the Jobs Report and GDP Report have been canceled at the same time.

And it’s not just the U.S.

Today, a report noted that the German GDP growth has fallen to 0% this quarter.

Due to the absence of GDP data, traders will rely more heavily on today’s PPI report to gauge the market’s health.

Stock Market at Critical Point

The charts cannot overstate the importance of the current S&P 500 level.

After breaking down from a six-month channel last week, the SP500 is validating it as resistance today (red icon).

If the stock market soars after the PPI report, it will invalidate the channel breakdown and could trigger a new upward movement.

Stock Market Movement
SP500 Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

On the other hand, a rejection could lead to the continuation of the downward movement.

If that happens, the SP500 could fall by nearly 9% until it hits the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support level at $6,125.

Markets React to the PPI

Today’s PPI report came in better than expected.

With no GDP data available, investors are forced to treat the PPI as the central gauge of economic strength and inflation pressure.

The S&P 500 now sits at a critical technical level.

A strong post-PPI rally could invalidate last week’s breakdown and spark a bullish reversal.

A rejection, however, would likely confirm the downtrend and send the index toward the next major Fibonacci support.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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