Key Takeaways
The markets are heading into a tricky week as the U.S. prepares to release only a partial October jobs report, its first incomplete release in more than a decade.
That uncertainty is already weighing on rate-cut expectations and stirring volatility across the crypto market.
Both TOTALCAP and Bitcoin sit just below key resistance levels, with technical indicators suggesting a potential breakout.
The Department of Labor announced that it will only release a partial jobs report, without the full number of jobs lost and the unemployment rate.
This is the first time since 2013 that a complete jobs report will not be released.
Due to this, the odds of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in December fell to less than 30%.
Unofficial data suggest that more than 150,000 jobs have been lost, the worst numbers in more than two decades.
The Department of Labor also pushed the release date for the November Job Report to Dec. 16 from the current date of Dec. 5.
This is six days after the Federal Reserve concludes its final policy meeting of the year.
The U.S. jobs data could create volatility in the market, both to the upside and downside, depending on whether the data is positive.
If the crypto market breaks out, it could begin an upward movement to the next resistance at $3.25 trillion.

Alternatively, a rejection could trigger a drop to the $2.85 trillion support level, created by the channel’s support trend line.
The RSI and MACD support the breakout possibility. The indicators have generated a bullish divergence and are increasing, suggesting that the crypto market will also rise.
Similar to the rest of the crypto market, the Bitcoin price has fallen under a diagonal resistance trend line since Nov. 11.
Bitcoin’s formation is also bullish, since the RSI and MACD have generated bullish divergences (orange), which often lead to bullish trend reversals.

Hence, a somewhat positive U.S. jobs report could help the already ongoing breakout, causing Bitcoin to close above the diagonal resistance.
If that happens, the price of BTC could hit the horizontal and Fibonacci resistance at $100,300.
Altogether, the macro backdrop and the chart setups are aligning at a potential bullish moment for crypto.
With TOTALCAP and BTC both flashing bullish divergences, the market appears ready to move, especially if it gets the right nudge from economic data.
A favorable U.S. jobs update could be the catalyst for a clean breakout, while weak numbers risk sending prices back to support.