Key Takeaways
Ondo (ONDO) has recently completed a corrective wave and is showing signs of a potential bullish impulse.
The 4-hour chart provides a broader market context, while the 1-hour chart presents short-term projections using Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci levels.
On the 4-hour chart, Ondo has undergone a prolonged correction following its prior Wave (V) peak at $2.13 on Dec. 16.
The decline unfolded within a clear ABC corrective structure, with Wave C bottoming out at $0.91 (0.786 Fibonacci retracement).
This level aligned with a major Fibonacci retracement zone (0.786 level), suggesting a potential reversal zone.
A prior downtrend channel was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment. After completing the corrective sequence, the price has rebounded and is now consolidating near $1.40, testing the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $1.36.
The recovery also aligns with the 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) bouncing from oversold conditions, further supporting a potential bullish continuation.
The previous rejection at $1.54 (0.382 Fibonacci level) indicates a key resistance level that needs to be cleared for further upside. If ONDO sustains momentum above this range, it could validate a broader uptrend.
Overall, the higher time frame structure suggests that ONDO has transitioned out of its correction and is setting up for a potential impulsive wave formation, with upcoming resistance levels as confirmation points for trend continuation.
The 1-hour chart provides a more detailed outlook on ONDO’s short-term wave structure.
The recent 55% bounce from $0.91 suggests initiating a five-wave Elliott impulse, with Wave (i) having completed around $1.45 before a corrective Wave (ii) pullback to $1.29.
The price appears to form a base near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement ($1.36), a typical support zone for Wave (ii) corrections.
A breakout from the consolidation phase would confirm Wave (iii) progression, with initial resistance near $1.54 and extended targets at $1.77 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement from the prior high).
If ONDO follows the projected five-wave structure, Wave (iii) could extend to $1.77, with a minor Wave (iv) pullback before extending to higher levels, targeting the $2.10 region (prior peak).
The RSI on the lower time frame is recovering from neutral levels, suggesting that bullish momentum is still building.
A failure to hold $1.36 could invalidate the immediate bullish outlook, potentially leading to a deeper retest near $1.17 (0.618 Fibonacci level).
However, if the structure remains intact, ONDO appears primed for a breakout above $1.54, targeting $1.77 and potentially higher.