Home / Analysis / Crypto / Technical Analysis / Nillion (NIL) Price Down 30% After Mainnet Debut — No Recovery Yet

Nillion (NIL) Price Down 30% After Mainnet Debut — No Recovery Yet

Published
Victor Olanrewaju
Published

Key Takeaways

NIL, the utility token of Nillion, a blockchain-based blind computation and payment network, has seen its price decline by 30%. This decline comes two days after the project went live on Mainnet.

On March 24, the NIL token’s price was around $0.86. Today, the cryptocurrency’s value is $0.64.

In this analysis, CCN reveals why the price has fallen so fast and what could be next for the cryptocurrency.

Nillion Trading Volume Drops After Launch

The Nillion Mainnet launch was met with optimism, with the community bullish on the project. In line with this, the project allocated 19.52% of its 1 billion total supply as an airdrop, which was distributed on the same day.

Exchanges include Binance, Bitget, South Korea-based Bithumb, as well as MEXC, which listed the token. A few hours after this, Nillion’s price dropped to $0.70, and that correction was extended today.

Looking for a safe place to buy and sell NILLION NIL? See the leading platforms for buying and selling NILLION NIL.

This is reflected in the cryptocurrency’s trading volume, which is affected by selling pressure from airdrop recipients and weak demand.

According to Santiment, NIL’s volume was nearly $750 million on March 25.

As of this writing, the volume has dropped below $250 million, indicating dwindling interest in the NIL token.

From a trading perspective, rising volume alongside increasing price is a bullish sign.

Nillion trading volume drops
NIL Volume | Credit: Santiment

But in this case, the drop in volume followed by the decrease in price indicates that the momentum has become weak. If sustained, Nillion’s price might continue to decline in the short term.

NIL Price Analysis: Fair Value Undecided

From a technical perspective, Nillion is still in price discovery mode. This indicates that buyers and sellers have yet to arrive at a fair value for the cryptocurrency since it is still in its early trading phase.

However, the 1-hour chart provides insights into how high or low the NIL token can go in the short term. For instance, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below the 50.00 neutral point.

When the RSI reading increases, momentum is bullish. But a decline below the midpoint indicates a bearish momentum.

Therefore, if the RSI reading continues to linger below the midpoint, the NIL token price might fail to recover. Using the Fibonacci retracement levels, CCNA noticed that the cryptocurrency’s value might slide to $0.54 at the 0.236 pullback level.

Nillion price analysis after launch
NIL/USDT 1-Hour Chart | Credit: TradingView

If selling pressure intensifies, Nillion’s value might sink to $0.40. However, this trend might change if trading volume around the token jumps.

If that is the case, and buying pressure follows, NIL might surge by $0.76. In a highly bullish case, the price might climb near its launch value of $0.86.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Was this Article helpful? Yes No
Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space. With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run. He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives. In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends. At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
See more