Key Takeaways
MSTR2100 (MSTR), the memecoin created to celebrate MicroStrategy’s aggressive Bitcoin accumulation, has jumped 10% in the past 24 hours.
The rally comes ahead of Friday’s decision on whether MicroStrategy’s stock will be added to the S&P 500.
This development has ignited bullish sentiment around both the memecoin and the stock.
This analysis breaks down all the key details and reveals what could happen to the MSTR crypto price if MicroStrategy secures a spot in the S&P 500.
Yesterday, the MSTR crypto price traded under $0.13. Today, it’s up to $0.15.
The jump comes on speculation that Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin treasury firm, Strategy, could join the S&P 500.
One reason fueling the hype is Strategy’s massive Q2 unrealized gain of $14.05 billion.
The S&P 500 rebalances every quarter, usually on a Friday, when new firms are added and others removed. Jack Dorsey’s Block (NYSE: XYZ) joined the index in July.
Strategy, Robinhood, and Applovin are among those vying for inclusion.
To qualify, a company must:
Be domiciled in the U.S.
Have a market cap of at least $22.7 billion.
Record at least 250,000 shares in monthly trading volume for six straight months.
Maintain a liquidity ratio above 75%.
List shares on the NYSE or Nasdaq in eligible form, such as common stock.
As of this writing, CCN found that Strategy meets all the requirements for S&P 500 inclusion. That optimism has spilled over into the MSTR2100 memecoin, fueling renewed bullish sentiment.
On the 4-hour chart, MSTR has broken above the upper trendline of a falling wedge. At the same time, the Money Flow Index (MFI) has climbed to 60.06, signaling growing inflows.

Supporting this shift, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has flipped back into positive territory.
With these signals aligning, MSTR’s price looks primed to retest resistance at $0.18, potentially extending toward $0.22 if momentum holds.
Beyond the technical setup, on-chain data from Santiment shows a clear rise in 24-hour active addresses for MSTR.
Rising active addresses mostly validate price moves, as they show demand isn’t speculative but supported by real on-chain engagement. For the MSTR crypto price, this adds another layer of strength to the bullish outlook.
On the daily chart, MSTR’s price remains capped below the resistance line.
However, the structure now appears to have formed a double-bottom pattern, a classic reversal signal that precedes bullish breakouts.
Adding to this outlook, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has broken its downtrend and is working toward testing the zero signal line.
A successful move above zero would confirm that capital inflows are strengthening, giving bulls more fuel to challenge resistance.
If the double-bottom pattern validates, the MSTR memecoin could surge above its resistance line, with the market value targeting $0.21.
The S&P committee’s decision on Strategy could be a bigger catalyst. If the firm secures entry into the index, MSTR could rally even higher, potentially reaching $0.28.

On the other hand, if the committee rejects Strategy’s inclusion, this bullish scenario may collapse. In that case, MSTR’s market value could tumble below $0.10.