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Dogecoin Breaks Long-Term Support — DOGE Price Could Witness Another 25% Drop

Published 18 December 2025
Valdrin Tahiri
Authors
Edited by Ryan James
Key Takeaways
  • Dogecoin’s (DOGE) price broke down from a 763-day support trend line.
  • The DOGE price has nearly returned to its Oct. 10 wick low of $0.095.
  • Can Dogecoin rebound, or will its price continue to decline for the rest of the year?

Dogecoin is back under pressure, and this time the charts are flashing serious warning signs.

After holding a crucial support trend line for more than two years, DOGE has finally slipped below it, raising fears that the meme coin’s bull cycle may be over.

With price now testing key horizontal support and momentum firmly bearish, traders are asking the same question: why is Dogecoin going down, and is a deeper drop still ahead?

Dogecoin Price Analysis

The weekly time frame price action shows that Dogecoin broke down from a 763-day diagonal support in November.

The support trend line had existed for the entire bull run, so the fact that it broke down is a strong signal that the bull cycle has ended.

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Initially, Dogecoin created a long lower wick (green icon) on Oct. 10, preventing the breakdown from the diagonal support.

However, the price movement since then has been bearish, confirming that bears have taken over.

Dogecoin Price Analysis
DOGE/USDT Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

To make things worse, the Dogecoin price today is breaking down from the $0.130 horizontal support area.

Traders are closely watching this level, since a breakdown below it could cause the Dogecoin price to crash.

Why is Dogecoin Going Down?

Momentum indicators give no hope that the upward movement can continue.

  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50.
  • The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is negative.
Dopgecoin Momentum Indicators
DOGE/USDT Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Neither has generated any bearish divergence, making it unlikely that a bounce will transpire.

So, the Dogecoin price prediction is bearish.

Once the price closes below $0.130, Dogecoin could crash by 25% to the next closest horizontal support at $0.095.

Why is Dogecoin’s Price Going Down?

Finally, the daily time frame technical analysis is also bearish.

The Dogecoin price has been toiling inside a descending parallel channel, continuously making new lows.

Today, Dogecoin’s price fell below the channel’s midline, increasing the likelihood of new lows.

The MACD movement perfectly encapsulates the price action.

Dogecoin Channel
DOGE/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

The indicator broke down from its bullish divergence trend line (orange) and made a bearish cross (black circle).

Therefore, the charts indicate that the downward movement will likely continue to the channel’s support trend line at $0.105.

Afterward, the reaction once it arrives can determine whether the gradual decline continues or if Dogecoin’s price plunges sharply to new lows.

New Lows Likely

Dogecoin is sitting at a crossroads, but the technical analysis currently favors the bears.

A breakdown from a multi-year support trend line, weakening momentum indicators, and a loss of key horizontal support all point to continued downside risk.

Unless DOGE quickly reclaims lost levels, the path of least resistance remains lower, with $0.105 and $0.095 the critical zones to watch.

For now, Dogecoin’s chart suggests that the downtrend may not be finished just yet.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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