Key Takeaways
On July 16, Cardano’s price surged to a high of $0.45, marking a 42% increase since its July 5 low. This rise resulted in a breakout above its 113-day correction and provided a signal of a commencing bullish phase
However, ADA’s price action has since been locked in a tight range, failing to breach the $0.45 resistance level. The anticipated corrective move ultimately materialized, resulting in a 14% decline. Although this downturn was expected, its magnitude has disrupted the previously projected bullish trajectory..
Following its peak at $0.80 on March 14, Cardano’s price has been in a corrective phase. The downtrend was briefly interrupted by a 42% rebound between July 5 and July 16.
To validate a sustained uptrend, Cardano would need to surpass the $0.50 mark and form a higher low during a subsequent retracement, potentially paving the way for a rally toward $1.
However, instead of building on the bounce, the price broke out of the descending channel it had been in since July 16, leading to a decline. While this downturn was anticipated as part of a lower-degree wave count, it was expected to precede one final higher high before the uptrend concludes. Consequently, Cardano’s price action has introduced two possible scenarios for its future trajectory.
On the hourly chart, the price action has unfolded in three waves, followed by a breakdown below the descending channel. This development raises two possibilities: the upward move is corrective, potentially leading to another lower low, or it represents a five-wave impulse, with the decline from July 16 being the corrective second wave.
In either case, a further decline to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level of $0.37 is anticipated. The price action at this level will be crucial in determining the future outlook. If $0.37 provides support and the price moves upward, Cardano could still initiate its next bullish phase, potentially leading to a higher high above $0.70.
Conversely, if the price breaks through the $0.37 area, another low may be on the horizon, with $0.24 being the next target.