Key Takeaways
Cardano kicked off July on a sour note, plummeting nearly 24% and dipping close to $0.3.
Despite this setback, it wasn’t long until ADA recovered from its fall, snapping back above $0.40 in the subsequent week. On-chain data showed that whales drove this recovery with their shopping spree.
As ADA shows subtle signs of strength, could this signal a potential for another major price surge?
On-chain data from IntoTheBlock showed a 1,218% spike in daily whale inflows, jumping from 14.51 million ADA ($5.9 million) on July 8 to 110.82 million ADA ($45 million) on July 9.
The spike in whale inflow also marks a significant 3,815% leap from July 7, when it only reeled in 2.83 million ADA ($1.1 million).
At press time, large holders, or whales, controlled a significant portion (36.26%) of the 35.87 billion ADA tokens ($1.4 billion) in circulation, influencing overall price movement despite representing only 0.01% of total addresses. Whale inflows had since simmered down to 7.52 million ADA ($3 million), suggesting that the shopping spree had stopped.
Looking at the Netflow, we can see that it is hovering around 2 million ADA ($1 million) after it spiked to 110 million ADA ( ($45 million)) on July 9. Considering this data, potential selling pressure is either behind us or the assets are sitting in exchange wallets, ready to be sold.
Cardano’s price has been in a downtrend since reaching $0.80 on March 14. It declined to $0.40 by April 13, then rebounded to $0.44, eventually peaking at $0.53 on April 23. On that day, it resisted a descending trendline from the March peak.
Cardano broke through horizontal support, dropping to a low of $0.32 on July 5. This low interacted with the 0.786 Fibonacci level, followed by a 20% rebound. The daily RSI fell to an oversold level of 32%, suggesting ADA might be poised for a significant recovery. Additionally, the daily MACD shows a bullish convergence with green oscillator bars.
Since the July 5 low, ADA has risen 27%, reaching a point of interaction with the descending resistance level. If the price continues to climb and breaks out, it could signal the beginning of an uptrend.
For a major recovery, Cardano needs to push above the $0.50 mark and establish a higher low during any subsequent downturn. Meeting these conditions could set the stage for a sustained uptrend, potentially leading to $1. If the recent movements indicate the end of its larger Wave 2 correction, the next uptrend could be Wave 3, typically following a 1.168 Fibonacci extension, potentially pushing ADA slightly above $1 by the end of this advance.