Key Takeaways
After experiencing a 12% drop in the past seven days, Cardano’s (ADA) price has printed its lowest close since April 22. At press time, ADA trades at $0.62.
The last time it reached this level was 56 days ago, before it bounced toward $0.85. However, despite returning to this historical support zone, the odds of a similar recovery appear slim.
ADA’s current setup lacks the bullish momentum that fueled its last breakout, and indicators suggest further downside may be in play.
Here’s what’s changed — and why a repeat rally may not happen.
At press time, Cardano’s price is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle. This technical formation reflects a standoff between bulls and bears, with support and resistance lines converging at near-identical slopes.
Currently trading at $0.62—its lowest price in 56 days—ADA appears vulnerable to further losses. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), which gauges market momentum based on recent and historic price action, has flipped negative.
The chart below shows that the AO’s dip into bearish territory signals fading bullish strength. If this trend persists, ADA risks a breakdown below the triangle’s lower boundary, with the next significant support sitting near $0.56.
Meanwhile, any hopes of reclaiming $0.80 appear increasingly unlikely under the current conditions.
Aligning with this bias is the Bull-Bear Power (BBP), which compares the strength of bulls to bears.
Bulls dominate when the BBP reading is above the zero signal line, and the price can increase. However, in this case, Cardano bears have the upper hand with the BBP in the negative region.
Due to this position, ADA’s price is unlikely to trade higher in the short term.
The daily ADA/USD chart shows a bearish bias that aligns with this outlook. As seen below, the Average Directional Index (ADX) has increased to 31.29.
This indicates strong directional movement to the downside since the ADX reading is higher than 25. If this trend continues, Cardano’s price might decline below $0.60.
Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is around the zero signal line. This indicates neutral momentum.
ADA’s price could drop as low as $0.56 if this remains the same. In a highly bearish case, the cryptocurrency might slide as low as $0.50.
On the contrary, if buying pressure increases, this trend might change. In that case, ADA might see an increase to $0.79.
Should demand for the cryptocurrency increase, it could rise much higher than $0.79. Cardano’s price could inch closer to $1 in such a situation.