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Cardano (ADA) Rebounds After 20% Drop, Signaling a Bullish Trend Shift

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

  • Cardano’s price is close to rising above the 20 EMA after retesting $0.80 and holding the $0.68 support.
  • On-chain data shows rising bullish sentiment in the market, suggesting that demand for ADA might rise.
  • The MFI shows increasing buying pressure, which could drive ADA’s price much higher if sustained.

Cardano’s (ADA) price could be looking at completely erasing its losses within the last 30 days. During this period, ADA’s market value declined by nearly 20%.

The recent price action suggests that Cardano’s price could break above key support, with indicators hinting at rising buying pressure.

While a sustained upswing is possible, it might depend on some factors.

In this analysis, CCN reveals why ADA could trade higher and what it would take to keep the uptrend in check.

Cardano Finds Crucial Support

While still trading in a narrow range, Cardano’s price provided a much-needed cushion as it failed to slide below $0.68.

On the daily chart, support at $0.68 seems to play a vital role as ADA aims to breach the resistance at $0.80.

Beyond that, the altcoin’s initial decline led to the appearance of a death cross. A death cross is a bearish signal that occurs when a shorter-term moving average (MA) crosses below a longer-term moving average.

As seen below, the 50 EMA (yellow) positions above the 20 EMA ( blue). However, as ADA’s price tries to break $0.80, it also tests the 20 EMA.

Should the token rise above the 20 EMA, this could validate the bullish thesis the altcoin has been flashing.

Cardano price eyes rally
ADA/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

Amid this attempt, on-chain data from Santiment reveals a rise in Cardano’s Weighted Sentiment. This metric tracks the tone of market commentary around an asset.

A negative sentiment typically signals pessimism, dampening demand for the cryptocurrency. In most cases, this negative sentiment suppresses demand.

However, as of this writing, Cardano’s sentiment is positive, with most market comments turning bullish.

Furthermore, ADA might experience increased buying pressure if this trend continues, which could drive the price higher.

Cardano sees rise in bullish sentiment
ADA Weighted Sentiment | Credit: Santiment

ADA Price Prediction: $1 Rebound

Zooming into the daily chart again, the Money Flow Index (CMF) has broken above the downtrend experienced between Jan. 17 and Feb. 4.

As a result, the MFI reading is now above the neutral line. This indicates rising buying pressure around ADA.

In addition, the dots of the Parabolic Stop And Reverse (SAR) are below Cardano’s price.

Typically, when the dotted lines of the Parabolic SAR are above the price, it indicates resistance.

However, since it is the other way around, it means that ADA has found strong support for around $0.68 to keep the price trending upwards.

Should the MFI reading continue to rise and the Parabolic SAR hold this position, Cardano’s price could climb to $0.94.

Cardano price prediction
ADA/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

Reaching this level could be a prerequisite to retest the $1 mark or surge above it.

On the contrary, if ADA fails to rise above $0.82, its value might decline. In that scenario, the token could decline to $0.70 or, in a highly bullish scenario, $0.54.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space. With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run. He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives. In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends. At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
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