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Bittensor (TAO) Struggles as Price Drops 17%, No Clear Bottom in Sight

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

Bittensor’s (TAO) sell-off extended for a fifth consecutive day on Feb. 26, only to show a slight rebound today with a green candlestick. Despite this slight uptick, TAO’s near-term direction remains uncertain.

However, one thing seems clear: the altcoin may remain trapped in a downtrend. Several indicators suggest there is no clear sign of stabilization, making it unlikely that a sustained upward movement will follow.

TAO Trapped in Descending Channel

At the peak of the correction, TAO’s price traded around $315. While it has jumped to $368.62 as of this writing, the daily chart shows that the token remains confined within a descending channel after a 17% decline in the last seven days.

Beyond the pattern formed, one indicator that has kept TAO stuck in the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The EMA uses changes over time to measure the trend around an asset.

When the indicator is below the price, the trend is bullish, and the price is likely to increase. On the other hand, if the EMA is above the price, it means that the trend is bearish.

On the daily chart, the 20 EMA (blue) and 50 EMA (yellow) are above TAO’s price, indicating a bearish trend. Furthermore, the 50 EMA has crossed above the 20 EMA since Dec. 10 to form a death cross and validate the bearish thesis.

TAO's price analysis in descending channel
TAO/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

Should this position remain the same, TAO’s price might continue consolidating between $315 and $465 without a breakout.

TAO Price Recovery Not Yet Validated

A look at the 4-hour chart also suggests a similar outlook. During this timeframe, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) is in the negative zone despite flashing green histogram bars.

This position indicates that the bearish momentum around TAO is not yet over. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has broken out of the downtrend, indicating that a double-digit correction is unlikely.

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Still, the RSI reading is below the neutral line, signifying that the momentum is not completely bullish yet.

If this trend continues, TAO’s price might continue trading within the 0.236 and 0..50 Fibonacci levels. However, this could change if the token sees an increase in demand.

To confirm the uptrend, TAO needs to break above the 0.618 golden ratio at $414.88 to confirm the uptrend. If this happens, then TAO could climb toward $463.25.

TAO price faces consolidation
TAO/USD 4-Hour Chart | Credit: TradingView

The cryptocurrency’s value could rise to $524.85 in a highly bullish scenario.

On the flip side, if the token fails to break above the 0.50 Fib level, this might not happen. In that case, TAO could decline to $304.92.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space. With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run. He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives. In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends. At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
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