Key Takeaways
After weeks of steady gains marked by both bullish and bearish signals, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has hit a decisive moment.
The coin briefly broke out of a diagonal resistance line but quickly slipped back, failing to hold its momentum.
Since April, BCH has traded within a parallel channel, making its next move outside this range critical for determining the long-term trend.
Let’s take a closer look at the price action to see whether BCH is gearing up for a bullish breakout or facing further downside.
BCH is sending mixed signals on the weekly chart, leaving traders uncertain about its next major move.
Last week, BCH broke above a diagonal resistance trend line and briefly validated it as support, forming a bullish engulfing candlestick in the process.
That move initially looked like the start of a strong upward trend.
However, this week, the momentum faltered, with the price once again showing signs of decline.
More importantly, BCH now risks breaking below an ascending parallel channel that has guided its price action since April.
A breakdown from this long-standing structure would signal that the existing bullish trend has ended and open the door to new lows.
The clash between the bullish retest of resistance and the bearish threat of a channel breakdown leaves the market at a crossroads.
For now, Bitcoin Cash’s long-term outlook remains unclear until one of these signals takes control.

Technical indicators lean bearish to break the deadlock. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) created a bearish divergence (orange) and is falling.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is losing momentum and is close to making a bearish cross (black circle).
So, the weekly time frame gives a slightly bearish Bitcoin Cash price prediction, which will be confirmed if the price closes below the bullish engulfing candlesticks opening (green icon).
A closer look at the breakdown suggests the BCH decline will continue, since the wave count shows an unfinished correction.
Bitcoin Cash finished a five-wave upward movement between April and August (green).
If that is true, today’s Bitcoin Cash price is in wave C of an A-B-C correction (red).
While wave B retraced a significant part of the decline, it failed to reclaim the channel, which would be needed to confirm that the bottom is in.

If the count is accurate, the minimum target for the decline is $519. This gives waves A and C the same length and ends slightly below the A wave low.
However, a more likely BCH target will be between $440-$445.
Three areas converge to create this target:
Momentum indicators also lean bearish. The RSI is below 50, and the MACD is close to making a bearish cross.
Hence, the most likely Bitcoin Cash price prediction is bearish, leading to a significant decline for the rest of September.
Today, Bitcoin Cash is confirming that its trend is bearish.
While last week’s bounce was promising, its inability to sustain it raises new concerns.
If the downward movement transpires, the BCH price could decline to the $490 horizontal support level.