Key Takeaways
Bitcoin Cash is flashing mixed signals on the charts, leaving traders wondering if the recent rally has already run out of steam.
Despite a strong weekly bounce and improving momentum indicators, BCH now sits directly under a major resistance that has rejected price advances for more than a year.
With both bullish and bearish structures forming across multiple time frames, the market is asking a big question: Will Bitcoin Cash decline, or is a breakout finally near?
The weekly Bitcoin Cash price action suggests that the price could still be in a bullish structure.
The charts show that after breaking out from a diagonal resistance trend line, the BCH price bounced at it twice (green icons).
The most recent bounce occurred in November, resulting in three consecutive bullish weekly candlesticks.
While the increase is promising, Bitcoin Cash still trades below its main resistance area at $620.
The resistance area is critical, since it has prevented the Bitcoin Cash price from moving upward for a year.

So, all eyes are on the $620 resistance:
Momentum indicators in the weekly time frame reinforce the importance of the current level.
Whether the BCH price crosses above $620 or not is key for the indicator movement.

A successful breakout will cause the RSI to move above 50 and the MACD to cross above its signal line in a bullish manner.
So, whether the Bitcoin Cash price breaks out above $620 or not will determine the future trend.
The weekly time frame gives mixed readings on whether the Bitcoin Cash price will break out.
The daily one is more decisive, as it shows a corrective bounce.
Firstly, the bounce is contained inside an ascending parallel channel.

Secondly, the BCH price has completed an A-B-C corrective structure (red).
All eyes are on the channel’s resistance trend line, but it is unlikely that BCH will break out.
Finally, the short-term wave count confirms the bearish Bitcoin Cash price prediction.
BCH has completed a five-wave diagonal (black), illustrated by the ascending wedge shape.

The diagonal fits perfectly with a wave C, hence it is likely that the bounce is over.
A breakdown from the wedge will confirm that the bounce has ended, triggering a 12% plunge to $520.
BCH is now at a pivotal make-or-break moment.
The weekly indicators support the possibility of a bullish continuation, but the daily and short-term structures lean bearish, suggesting that the recent upward move may be merely a completed corrective bounce.
Until BCH breaks convincingly above the critical 620 resistance area, downside risk remains elevated, and the likelihood of Bitcoin Cash going down appears stronger than a sustained bullish trend.
The next move will be decisive.