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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Stalls Below All-Time High — Last Shot at Buying the Dip

Published
Valdrin Tahiri
Published
By Valdrin Tahiri
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin (BTC) has increased by nearly 40% since its April lows.
  • The BTC price failed to reach a new all-time high (ATH) by 3%.
  • Will BTC reach a new all-time high, or does a flash crash await?

The BTC price came within inches of a new all-time high today before a swift 5% flash crash wiped out the gains.

With momentum building and market sentiment positive, the main question is: When will Bitcoin finally break through, and what’s the ideal entry before it does?

Bitcoin Struggles at Highs

The Bitcoin price ascended alongside a steep ascending support trend line since its April 7 lows.

Retracements during this upward movement have been minor and triggered notable bounces.

Earlier today, Bitcoin’s price reached a high of $107,108, only 3% below the all-time high of $109,588.

However, the BTC price was rejected by the $106,000 resistance area and is creating a bearish candlestick.

Since Bitcoin trades at the ascending support trend line, a breakdown below it could trigger a flash crash to the $96,000 support.

Technical indicators show weakness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) have generated bearish divergences.

BTC Price Increase
BTC/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Such divergences often occur at the top and indicate a corrective movement ahead.

So, the BTC price has likely started its correction after such a lengthy increase.

Let’s look at a lower time frame and see where it can find support.

New Bitcoin All-Time High?

The wave count analysis suggests Bitcoin’s five-wave increase (green) ended on May 10.

If so, the BTC price movement since then is an A-B-C correction (red) of an expanded or running flat variation.

Bitcoin might have already finished its correction if it is a running flat variation, since waves A and C have the same length.

Alternatively, if Bitcoin completes an expanded flat correction, the price might fall to $99,400, reaching the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement support level.

BTC Wave Count
BTC/USDT 12-Hour Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

This will also give waves A and C a 1:1.61 ratio, providing more confluence to the target.

Nevertheless, since the upward movement is impulsive, a new all-time high is likely after the correction.

The A-B-C correction will likely be similar because retracements during the increase have been shallow in waves two and four.

As a result, the expanded and running flat variations are the most likely, with BTC not expected to fall below the $99,300 support.

Final Dip Before New Highs?

The Bitcoin price has shown impressive strength by rallying over 40% since April 7.

Bitcoin’s upward movement is impulsive, indicating that the long-term trend is still bullish.

If this is the case, BTC is completing its final correction before a new all-time high.

The $99,300 area is likely to provide support.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics in 2017. He has been an avid investor and trader since. Valdrin has written for several cryptocurrency media companies such as BeInCrypto and CoinGape. Valdrin served as the community manager for the BeIn Crypto Telegram group for three years, playing a key role in growing it into one of the largest cryptocurrency communities. His areas of expertise include technical, on-chain and fundamental analysis.
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