Key Takeaways
After plunging 60% from its all-time high of $2.48, the ASTER price finally bounced last week, ending its nearly 40-day downward trend.
The bounce was catalyzed by Changpeng Zhao’s (CZ) post stating that he is purchasing ASTER with his own money and intends to hold it.
CZ likened his buy-and-hold to that of BNB in the first month of the Token Generation Event (TGE) eight years ago.
The recovery was significant, creating a higher low and pushing ASTER above its diagonal resistance trendline.
While this marks the first step toward a bullish trend reversal, ASTER must do more to confirm its downward trend is over.
Let’s examine the charts and determine whether ASTER has what it takes to begin a bullish trend reversal.
The ASTER price rallied shortly after its debut, hitting a high of $2.48 on Sept. 24.
However, the price movement since then has not been nearly as optimistic.
An initial decline led to a lower high on Oct. 4, and the price of ASTER has fallen more rapidly since then.
During its decline, ASTER confirmed the $1.50 horizontal area as resistance (red icon) and fell to a low of $0.85.
Not all is grim, however. Today, ASTER ended its downtrend with a 50% price increase, breaking out from the diagonal resistance.
Currently, the ASTER price is attempting to validate the trend line as support, a bullish sign that could cause the crypto to retest the $1.50 resistance once again.

Momentum indicators legitimize the breakout. During the movement, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moved above 50, and the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) turned positive.
Thanks to these bullish signals, ASTER could now confirm the trend line as support and make another attempt to reach the $1.50 resistance level.
However, the ASTER prediction cannot be considered bullish until the price closes above $1.50.
Aster’s wave count aligns with the price action, giving a bullish short-term prediction but an unclear long-term one.
ASTER finished a five-wave downward movement since the all-time high, where wave five created an ending diagonal, as shown by its descending wedge pattern.
If the count is accurate, ASTER’s price breakout is part of wave A in an A-B-C correction (red), taking ASTER to the 0.382-0.5 Fibonacci retracement resistance area of $1.46-$1.65.

The proposed area also coincides with the $1.50 horizontal resistance area, giving even more confluence for a possible top.
Based on the price action and wave count readings, the most likely future ASTER prediction is a retest of the wedge to complete wave B and another upward push for wave C.
If the price of ASTER closes above the $1.50 resistance area, it could open the door for more bullish future projections. However, until that occurs, the long-term ASTER price prediction remains bearish.
To conclude, ASTER’s recent rebound shows the first real signs of strength after weeks of decline.
ASTER’s price increase is news-based, occurring after CZ announced he had bought and held the token.
The breakout above its diagonal resistance is promising, but confirmation above $1.50 remains key.
As long as ASTER trades below the $1.50 area, the long-term price prediction remains bearish.