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ApeCoin (APE) Price Plunges to All-Time Low, but Bullish Turnaround Likely

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

ApeCoin (APE), the utility token of the APE ecosystem, plummeted to an all-time low of $0.42 on April 2. This decline came after the cryptocurrency’s price registered a 65% decrease in the last 90 days.

According to CCN’s findings, APE experienced this correction after failing to attract notable demand. Instead, the token kept facing intense selling pressure.

However, according to on-chain data and other indicators, this all-time low could be APE’s bottom. But what are the likely targets?

ApeCoin Flashes Buy Signal

As of this writing, ApeCoin’s price has bounced slightly from its all-time low of $0.44. Amid this slight rebound, Santiment data shows that the Price-Daily Active Addresses (DAA) divergence has turned positive.

The price DAA divergence is an on-chain metric that shows the potential impact of user engagement on the price. When the divergence drops to the negative region, it means low network activity and flashes a sell signal.

On the other hand, a favorable price DAA divergence indicates rising user participation, which is also a buy signal. As of this writing, ApeCoin’s price DAA divergence stood at 18.05%.

Given the conditions above, ApeCoin’s price will likely show a sustained uptrend if network activity improves.

ApeCoin price shows buy signal
ApeCoin Price DAA Divergence | Credit: Santiment

History Shows It’s at the Bottom

Apart from the metric above, the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio also shows that APE’s bottom could be in. The MVRV ratio shows if a cryptocurrency has hit the market top or bottom.

The highly positive ratio indicates a high level of unrealized profits, marking the top could be close. A negative reading, on the other hand, signals that the bottom could be near.

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As of this writing, APE’s 30-day MVRV ratio is -15.57%. Historically, when the ratio is between -22% and -11%, ApeCoin’s price bounces; therefore, if history rhymes with the current trend, APE will likely keep trading higher.

APE Price Analysis: Falling Wedge Breakout Likely

Looking at it from a technical perspective, CCN observed that APE’s decline has led to the formation of a falling wedge, a bullish reversal chart pattern.

It appears when the price action creates two converging trendlines: one connecting the lower highs and the other connecting the lower lows. As seen below, ApeCoin’s price appears ready to retest at $0.48.

If validated, APE’s value might climb toward $0.83, where the 0.236 Fibonacci level positions. This value might climb as high as $1 in a highly bullish scenario.

ApeCoin price bullish
APE/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

However, if buying pressure fails to rise, ApeCoin might fail to move toward the value above.

In that case, APE’s price might drop to a new all-time low, possibly below $0.40.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space. With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run. He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives. In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends. At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
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