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ApeCoin (APE) Price Plunges to All-Time Low, but Bullish Turnaround Likely

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

ApeCoin (APE), the utility token of the APE ecosystem, plummeted to an all-time low of $0.42 on April 2. This decline came after the cryptocurrency’s price registered a 65% decrease in the last 90 days.

According to CCN’s findings, APE experienced this correction after failing to attract notable demand. Instead, the token kept facing intense selling pressure.

However, according to on-chain data and other indicators, this all-time low could be APE’s bottom. But what are the likely targets?

ApeCoin Flashes Buy Signal

As of this writing, ApeCoin’s price has bounced slightly from its all-time low of $0.44. Amid this slight rebound, Santiment data shows that the Price-Daily Active Addresses (DAA) divergence has turned positive.

The price DAA divergence is an on-chain metric that shows the potential impact of user engagement on the price. When the divergence drops to the negative region, it means low network activity and flashes a sell signal.

On the other hand, a favorable price DAA divergence indicates rising user participation, which is also a buy signal. As of this writing, ApeCoin’s price DAA divergence stood at 18.05%.

Given the conditions above, ApeCoin’s price will likely show a sustained uptrend if network activity improves.

ApeCoin price shows buy signal
ApeCoin Price DAA Divergence | Credit: Santiment

History Shows It’s at the Bottom

Apart from the metric above, the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio also shows that APE’s bottom could be in. The MVRV ratio shows if a cryptocurrency has hit the market top or bottom.

The highly positive ratio indicates a high level of unrealized profits, marking the top could be close. A negative reading, on the other hand, signals that the bottom could be near.

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As of this writing, APE’s 30-day MVRV ratio is -15.57%. Historically, when the ratio is between -22% and -11%, ApeCoin’s price bounces; therefore, if history rhymes with the current trend, APE will likely keep trading higher.

APE Price Analysis: Falling Wedge Breakout Likely

Looking at it from a technical perspective, CCN observed that APE’s decline has led to the formation of a falling wedge, a bullish reversal chart pattern.

It appears when the price action creates two converging trendlines: one connecting the lower highs and the other connecting the lower lows. As seen below, ApeCoin’s price appears ready to retest at $0.48.

If validated, APE’s value might climb toward $0.83, where the 0.236 Fibonacci level positions. This value might climb as high as $1 in a highly bullish scenario.

ApeCoin price bullish
APE/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

However, if buying pressure fails to rise, ApeCoin might fail to move toward the value above.

In that case, APE’s price might drop to a new all-time low, possibly below $0.40.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a seasoned crypto reporter at CCN, currently based in Lagos, Nigeria. His journey into crypto began in 2017, but it wasn't until 2020—after receiving a slice of the Uniswap airdrop—that things truly clicked. At the time, Victor was learning the ropes of copywriting. That turning point led him to a role as a crypto copywriter for an affiliate marketing firm working with top crypto brokers. At the firm, he produced educational content and price predictions that significantly boosted visibility and conversions for clients, including a standout XRP price prediction that topped Google SERPs during the 2021 bull run. Victor transitioned into crypto journalism in 2022, joining AMBCrypto as a writer and analyst. There, he sharpened his skills in on-chain and technical analysis, playing a part in the outlet’s growth into a top-tier crypto media platform. In 2024, he continued his journey at BeInCrypto, where he worked with the analytics team using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, CryptoQuant, and IntoTheBlock to deliver in-depth reports on Bitcoin, altcoins, and memecoins. Now at CCN, Victor specializes in real-time news, on-chain metrics, and technical analysis. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan—a background that allows him to simplify complex technical insights for a broader audience while keeping content engaging, factual and impactful.
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