Key Takeaways
The Bitcoin Dominance has declined significantly since its cycle high in June and is close to a new yearly low.
Simultaneously, the altcoin market cap has nearly reached a new all-time high.
Combined, these two charts suggest that Altcoin season is underway and could continue the rest of 2025.
Let’s dive deep into the charts and see what lies ahead.
The Bitcoin Dominance rate has declined by more than 6% since June, when it reached a cycle high of 66.05%.
BTCD’s decline came after an upward trend of more than 1,022 days, one of the longest in history.
During its upward trend, Bitcoin’s dominance completed a five-wave increase, which is now over.
Besides the decline, indicator readings make it very likely that the altcoin season is underway.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) generated bearish divergences (orange) before the fall.
The next closest support levels are 55.70% and 52.50%, respectively.

It is worth mentioning that the short-term chart predicts a bounce soon.
Bitcoin’s dominance is close to finishing a five-wave decline that has been ongoing since the June high.
Additionally, the daily time frame RSI and MACD have generated bullish divergences.
So, BTCD may have some relief soon, possibly returning near 62%.

Despite the possibility of a bounce, there are no long-term bullish trend reversal signs, so Bitcoin’s dominance could continue falling, which would cause altcoin dominance to rise.
The next chart supporting the altcoin season thesis is the market cap, which is making its third breakout attempt above the $1.60 trillion resistance area.
If the ALTCAP breaks out, it will likely continue increasing parabolically, entering price discovery.
The RSI and MACD are both rallying, suggesting a breakout is imminent.

While the ALTCAP chart is bullish, it is nothing compared to the small-cap altcoin analysis, which suggests a parabola is right around the corner.
After breaking out from a descending resistance trend line and then reclaiming the $280 billion horizontal resistance area, the chart shows no more resistance left.
The wave count shows an extremely bullish 1-2/1-2 wave structure, which predicts the rally will accelerate soon.

So, altcoin dominance will likely to continue for the rest of the year, taking large- and small-cap altcoins to new highs.
Bitcoin’s dominance has fallen sharply since June, while altcoins are surging toward record highs, signaling that altcoin season is in full swing.
The altcoin season index is also moving toward altcoin season territory.
While a short-term Bitcoin dominance bounce is possible, altcoin season will continue for the foreseeable future.
Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.
He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.
Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.
He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.
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