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Altcoin Season Back on Track as Bitcoin’s Dominance Falls Near 60%

Published 05 August 2025
Valdrin Tahiri
Authors
Edited by Insha Zia

Key Takeaways

  • The Bitcoin Dominance Rate (BTCD) has resumed its downtrend.
  • The Altcoin Market Cap (ALTCAP) might reach a new high soon.
  • Ethereum (ETH) is leading the altcoin rally, with a dominance of 12%.

After months of Bitcoin dominance, altcoins took center stage in June, and Ethereum (ETH) is leading the way.

Bitcoin’s dominance is now on the verge of dipping below 60% for the first time in a while, raising the question: is altcoin season officially here?

Let’s examine the charts more closely to see if this trend will continue through the rest of 2025.

Bitcoin Dominance Crashes

The Bitcoin Dominance (BTCD) chart has been trending downward since hitting its cycle high of 66% on June 25, marking the steepest drop of the current market cycle.

Optimism around the altcoin season briefly faded between July 22 and Aug. 2, as BTCD rebounded.

The move raised concerns, especially on Aug. 2, when it looked like Bitcoin dominance had reclaimed the key 62.50% resistance level.

But that turned out to be a fakeout. BTCD dropped shortly after, confirming the move was just a deviation, not a real reversal..

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According to the wave count, BTCD is now in the fifth and final leg of its decline, which could bottom out near 59.15%.

Until that level is reached, the altcoin season rally is expected to continue, though a bounce could follow once the wave completes.

BTC Dominance
BTC Dominance Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

The wave count suggests that BTCD is in the fifth and final wave of its downward movement, which will end near 59.15%.

While a more significant bounce could occur then, altcoin season will continue until that happens.

Is it Altcoin Season?

The crypto total market cap, excluding Bitcoin (BTC), creates the altcoin market cap.

The altcoin market cap has surged since June 22, but fell significantly on July 21.

Nevertheless, the short-term correction has ended.

Altcoin Market Cap
ALTCAP Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

The altcoin cap fell inside a descending parallel channel and is now breaking out from it.

If successful, it will confirm that the final portion of wave three (green) has started, targeting a new all-time high of $1.69 trillion.

ETH Dominance Surges

The Ethereum Dominance chart is one of the most telling charts of the 2025 altcoin season.

Ethereum is the largest altcoin, so its performance affects the rest of the market.

Ethereum had underperformed during the entire cycle, but that changed in April.

Since then, the ETH price has nearly doubled and will not likely stop soon.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are surging.

ETH Dominance
ETH Dominance Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

The next closest resistance is at 14.67%, so the ETH dominance has more room for growth.

So, the current altcoin season is still being led by large-cap altcoins instead of small-cap ones.

While rotation may occur later in the cycle, it is clear that large-cap altcoins are currently thriving and leading the altseason rally.

2025 Altcoin Season

After the most extended period of underperformance in any cycle, altcoins have finally woken up and are strengthening their dominance.

Ethereum is leading the charge, and its dominance is climbing to 12%.

The ALTCAP is likely to reach a new all-time high before another dip.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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