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Here’s Why Cardano Bears Have the Upper Hand After ADA Rally Stalled Near $0.29

Published 13 May 2026
Victor Olanrewaju
Authors

Key Takeaways

  • ADA rallied toward $0.29 before losing momentum as sellers defended the key resistance zone.
  • Indicators’ readings have dropped, but bulls still hold short-term control above the $0.27 support.
  • A breakout above resistance could send ADA toward $0.39, but the risks of a decline remain.

Cardano (ADA) surged toward the $0.29 level and briefly reignited bullish sentiment across the market.

However, the rally quickly lost strength. Bears stepped in, triggering fresh selling pressure near a critical resistance zone. 

The altcoin has suffered a 2% decline in trading volume over the past 24 hours. Now, what could be next for ADA’s price?

ADA Risks Deeper Retracement 

Cardano’s price has remained in a bullish structure after climbing toward the $0.28 resistance zone on the 4-hour chart.

The asset recently printed a strong breakout rally from the $0.25 region, only to face mild exhaustion near local highs.

The $0.27 support area remains in play, indicating that buyers still control the short-term trend. However, momentum indicators are beginning to cool.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has flipped negative, while the signal lines are trending downward, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.

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At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits around 51, indicating neutral conditions after exiting overbought territory.

This shows the market is currently consolidating rather than aggressively selling off.

Cardano still maintains a bullish market structure. Nevertheless, traders should closely monitor momentum recovery before expecting another strong breakout continuation.

Cardano ADA price analysis
ADA/USD 4-Hour Chart | Credit: TradingView

If bulls defend the $0.27 zone, ADA’s price could attempt another push toward $0.28 and potentially retest the broader resistance near $0.29.

On the downside, failure to hold current levels may expose the asset to a deeper retracement.

Sellers Are Leaving

On the derivatives side, ADA shows a persistent spot outflow bias across the broader timeline, indicating sustained distribution.

However, recent readings suggest a gradual shift in flow as selling intensity begins to drop

Although netflows remain predominantly negative, intermittent inflow spikes highlight early accumulation attempts near $0.27.

Consequently, Cardano’s price stability has improved, aligning with the consolidation phase rather than aggressive downside continuation.

Nevertheless, conviction remains limited, as inflows are inconsistent and lack structural dominance. If this pattern persists,  ADA may continue to range.

Cardano ADA on-chain analysis
ADA Spot Netflow | Credit: Coinglass

On the contrary, sustained inflow returns would be required to confirm a meaningful bullish reversal and a broader trend recovery. 

ADA Price Forecast: Where Next?

ADA is attempting to stabilize after months of sustained downside pressure, trading near $0.27 as buyers gradually regain control.

The daily chart shows ADA pushing into a key descending trendline that has capped rallies since late 2025.

Although the broader structure still reflects a long-term bearish trend, recent price action suggests momentum is beginning to shift.

Meanwhile, the Bull Bear Power indicator (BBP) has turned positive, signaling improving short-term buying strength.

At the same time, the Money Flow Index (MFI) has surged toward overbought territory above 78, indicating aggressive capital inflows.

However, such elevated readings could also trigger temporary exhaustion if buyers fail to sustain momentum.

Still, Cardano’s price continues to defend the $0.22 support zone effectively, reinforcing the possibility of a broader recovery phase.

Cardano AD technical outlook analysis
ADA/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

A confirmed breakout above descending resistance could open the path toward the $0.39 Fibonacci level, while rejection may keep consolidation intact.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Victor Olanrewaju

Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space.

With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run.

He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives.

In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends.

At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics.

He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.

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