Key Takeaways
Cryptocurrency prices have risen sharply due to growing momentum towards US approval of Ethereum exchange-traded funds.
This marks a shift from the more pessimistic outlook observed just last week. Meanwhile, some altcoins are already showing significant gains.
The speculative interest in Ethereum ETFs echoes the enthusiasm previously seen with Bitcoin ETFs in the US. Their January launch spurred a significant rally in the value of Bitcoin, pushing it to a record high. Meanwhile, Ethereum’s price , jumped almost 14% on Monday—the largest increase since November 2022. It continued to rise, reaching $3,675 on Tuesday mornng. Similarly, Bitcoin approached $72,000, nearing its mid-March record peak of nearly $74,000.
According to sources, the US Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) has reached out to at least one exchange and one potential issuer of a spot-Ethereum ETF to request updates on their 19b-4 filings. This suggests that the likelihood of SEC approval might be improving, although the outcome remains uncertain.
When Ethereum transitioned to a proof-of-stake mechanism in 2022, it stopped relying on miners to add supply to the market. This, in turn, made ETH effectively deflationary as the overall supply decreases. Ethereum is also widely used in various capacities such as staking, farming, serving as collateral, and in decentralized finance (DeFi). This further limits the amount of ETH available for straightforward purchasing.
Given these conditions, even moderate inflows from traditional finance investors could significantly drive up Ethereum’s price. This surge in ETH’s price, if catalyzed by ETF approval, could also trigger a substantial rally in the broader altcoin market. Tokens like Solana and Avalanche, along with various Layer-2 altcoins, could see significant gains in the wake of Ethereum’s potential rise.
The renewed interest in Bitcoin ETFs marks a significant shift following weeks of outflows, with nearly $1 billion injected into the funds.
This infusion has spurred market activity, resulting in substantial liquidations. Over the past 24 hours, more than $235 million in positions have closed, including $63 million in Bitcoin short positions alone.
On-chain metrics are signaling the onset of a bull market for Bitcoin , despite some indicators suggesting a potential peak. The cryptocurrency’s recent rebound to near $60,000 levels has reignited investor interest. Farside Investors recorded about $950 million in inflows last week, a surge not seen since March. Bitcoin has climbed 51% so far this year, driven by expectations of US monetary expansion, with the M2 monetary base hitting over $21 trillion in April 2024—an indicator of rising inflationary pressures amid cautious spending by companies and individuals.
Also, the Federal Reserve’s ongoing efforts to control inflation and stave off recession influence market liquidity and the appeal of assets like Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency reached a new all-time high of $73,737 in March, largely propelled by ETFs, and currently sits just 5% below that.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin reserves on major exchanges have dwindled to a seven-year low. CryptoQuant data indicates only 1,918,417 BTC available as of May 19—a significant decrease from the previous year. This scarcity is further accentuated by the recent halving, which slashed the potential new supply from miners. As a result, a bearish outlook on Bitcoin, at least in the short term, is increasingly untenable.
As the crypto community closely monitors Bitcoin’s price movements, speculation abounds regarding whether the digital asset will sustain its upward trajectory or face a significant correction in the weeks ahead.