Home / News / Crypto / News / Cathie Wood Predicts $1.5M by 2030, Then Bitcoin Crashes
News
3 min read

Cathie Wood Predicts $1.5M by 2030, Then Bitcoin Crashes

Published
Josh Adams
Published
Key Takeaways
  • Cathie Wood has made her name as a savvy investor.
  • She recently predicted that Bitcoin would reach $1.5 million by 2030.
  • However, only hours after the prediction, Bitcoin fell by 9%.

Bitcoin (BTC) has always moved to its own beat – captivating investors with massive boom and bust cycles. But the few days have put Bitcoin’s volatile nature into stark relief. A day after star stock picker and CEO of Ark Invest Cathie Wood predicted Bitcoin would reach $1.5 million by 2030, the crypto market plunged nearly 20%.

Cathie Wood Bullish, Bitcoin Plunges

As CEO of ARK Invest, Cathie Wood’s ultra-bullish case relies on growing institutional adoption, Bitcoin’s capped supply, and network effects driving mainstream use. The investor currently has approximately 25% of her net wealth locked up in the cryptocurrency.

Wood told CNBC: “We think the probability of the bull case has increased with this SEC approval. This is a green light.”

Mere days ago, her projections reflected the optimism permeating crypto enthusiasts. But the launch of long-awaited Bitcoin ETFs in the US became a “sell the news” moment instead.

So what happened? The ETFs attracted piles of volume from institutional investors finally getting an on-ramp to crypto exposure. But speculators may have already priced the event in after months of lobbying and anticipation. Once trading kicked off, overextended traders rushed to lock in short-term profits.

Add to this funding conversions from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust fund plus selling pressure from the FTX bankruptcy. Like a perfect storm, these headwinds collided and sent Bitcoin careening below $42,000 – shedding nearly 9% on Friday before settling between $42,000 and $43,000.

Of course, crypto markets move in cycles, and crashes come with the territory. The key question is whether last week marked a temporary setback or more sustained reversal. In the near-term, the $40,000 level serves as a critical support test for bulls looking to restart Bitcoin’s uptrend.

Bitcoin's (BTC) price over the previous seven days.
Bitcoin’s price over the previous seven days. Source: CoinMarketCap.

Can Bitcoin Pump by 2,081%?

But zooming out, the dust is still settling on whether Cathie Wood’s long-term prediction has merit. For pension funds and institutional investors, last week’s whipsaw may still prove a tempting gateway to portfolio diversification. But for speculators playing with fire, it solidifies Bitcoin’s reputation for extreme, unpredictable volatility.

Bitcoin’s all-time high was $68,789 on November 10, 2021. So, for Wood’s prediction to come true, the cryptocurrency would have to outperform its best by 2,081% over the next 6 years. This would be an unprecedented rise for the asset. 

Was this Article helpful? Yes No

Josh Adams

Josh has previously appeared in BeInCrypto, Vice, Quillette, Unherd and many others. He is particularly interested in privacy, policy and regulation, and web3 adoption.
See more