Home / Analysis / Crypto / Technical Analysis / XRP Stalls at Descending Channel Resistance, Hinting at Further Decline

XRP Stalls at Descending Channel Resistance, Hinting at Further Decline

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • XRP peaked at $2.90 and is now in a corrective structure
  • Key support levels include $2.20, $1.98 (0.382 Fib), and $1.70 (0.5 Fib).
  • A breakout above $2.50 signals a bullish continuation, while a breakdown below $2.20 increases bearish risks.

XRP has completed a five-wave impulsive structure, peaking at $2.90, followed by an ongoing correction.

The price is consolidating within a descending channel, with resistance at $2.40-$2.50 and support at $2.20, as the correction nears completion.

Momentum remains neutral, leaving room for a breakout or a deeper decline. A breakout would confirm a bullish trend resumption, while failure to hold $2.20 would signal continued bearish pressure.

XRP Price Analysis

The XRP chart on the 4-hour timeframe shows a completed five-wave impulsive structure, with the fifth wave marking a peak around $2.90.

Following this peak, an ABC corrective pattern unfolds, with wave (a) leading to support at $2.20 and wave (b) testing the $2.60 descending resistance line. 

XRP price analysis
XRPUSD testing descending resistance | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView 

Its next low of $1.92 on Dec. 10 was wave (c), with the following increase leading to another retest of the descending channel resistance.

This brings two possibilities ahead, but a bearish one currently looks more likely as it appears that the price is getting rejected. 

The price is consolidating, which is often considered a bullish continuation pattern. If the correction continues, Fibonacci retracement levels, particularly 0.382 ($1.97) and 0.5 ($1.7) serve as critical support zones.

The 4h Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates neutral momentum, allowing for further corrective action or potential breakout scenarios.

A breakout above $2.50 could signal the end of the correction and a resumption of the bullish trend. However, failure to hold key support at $2.20 increases the likelihood of testing deeper retracement levels. Overall, the structure remains corrective, and we await confirmation of the next directional move.

Key Observations

  • The chart completed a five-wave impulsive structure, peaking at $2.90.
  • An ABC correction is underway, with wave (b) testing resistance near $2.50.
  • The descending wedge pattern suggests a potential bullish breakout.
  • RSI remains neutral, indicating room for movement in either direction.

XRP Price Prediction

The XRP 1-hour chart highlights a descending channel pattern within an ABCDE corrective structure, typical of consolidation following an impulsive move.

The price remains below the $2.40 resistance, with support holding at $2.20, signaling indecision as the pattern nears completion.

A breakout or breakdown from the structure will determine the next major move.

XRP price prediction
XRPUSD one more leg down more likely | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView 

The 1h chart RSI shows weakening momentum, leaning toward bearish sentiment but still within a neutral range.

If the current wave (e) completes near $2.20, a potential bullish breakout could target $2.50 or higher. However, a breakdown below $2.20 increases the likelihood of further declines in Fibonacci support levels.

Key Fibonacci levels at 0.382 ($1.98) and 0.5 ($1.70) provide critical support areas if the price breaks down.

Conversely, a breakout above $2.40 would invalidate the bearish scenario and signal renewed bullish momentum.

Key Levels to Watch

  • Resistance: $2.40 and $2.50.
  • Immediate Support: $2.20.
  • Critical Support: $1.98 (0.382 Fib) and $1.70 (0.5 Fib).
  • Break above $2.40: Confirms a bullish breakout toward higher levels.
  • Break below $2.20: Increases the likelihood of testing $1.98 and $1.70.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Was this Article helpful? Yes No

Nikola Lazic

Nikola Lazic is a cryptocurrency analyst and investor working in the industry since 2017. He holds a bachelor's degree in Sociology, which enables him to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently his preferred analytical tool is Elliott Wave Theory in combination with price action analysis. Combining his experience in trading and investing with knowledge in content writing he strives to bring the most accurate and actionable information. Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, On-chain metrics, Research reports.
See more