Key Takeaways
XRP has completed a five-wave impulsive structure, peaking at $2.90, followed by an ongoing correction.
The price is consolidating within a descending channel, with resistance at $2.40-$2.50 and support at $2.20, as the correction nears completion.
Momentum remains neutral, leaving room for a breakout or a deeper decline. A breakout would confirm a bullish trend resumption, while failure to hold $2.20 would signal continued bearish pressure.
The XRP chart on the 4-hour timeframe shows a completed five-wave impulsive structure, with the fifth wave marking a peak around $2.90.
Following this peak, an ABC corrective pattern unfolds, with wave (a) leading to support at $2.20 and wave (b) testing the $2.60 descending resistance line.
Its next low of $1.92 on Dec. 10 was wave (c), with the following increase leading to another retest of the descending channel resistance.
This brings two possibilities ahead, but a bearish one currently looks more likely as it appears that the price is getting rejected.
The price is consolidating, which is often considered a bullish continuation pattern. If the correction continues, Fibonacci retracement levels, particularly 0.382 ($1.97) and 0.5 ($1.7) serve as critical support zones.
The 4h Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates neutral momentum, allowing for further corrective action or potential breakout scenarios.
A breakout above $2.50 could signal the end of the correction and a resumption of the bullish trend. However, failure to hold key support at $2.20 increases the likelihood of testing deeper retracement levels. Overall, the structure remains corrective, and we await confirmation of the next directional move.
The XRP 1-hour chart highlights a descending channel pattern within an ABCDE corrective structure, typical of consolidation following an impulsive move.
The price remains below the $2.40 resistance, with support holding at $2.20, signaling indecision as the pattern nears completion.
A breakout or breakdown from the structure will determine the next major move.
The 1h chart RSI shows weakening momentum, leaning toward bearish sentiment but still within a neutral range.
If the current wave (e) completes near $2.20, a potential bullish breakout could target $2.50 or higher. However, a breakdown below $2.20 increases the likelihood of further declines in Fibonacci support levels.
Key Fibonacci levels at 0.382 ($1.98) and 0.5 ($1.70) provide critical support areas if the price breaks down.
Conversely, a breakout above $2.40 would invalidate the bearish scenario and signal renewed bullish momentum.