Key Takeaways
VeChain’s (VET) price action this cycle has been disappointing, since the token has struggled to hold its primary support levels.
Despite its lackluster price action, VeChain is trending due to its VeBetter program, which enables users to earn B3TR by completing sustainable actions.
There are other positive Vechain news, such as Bitget introducing staking for VTHO token rewards.
Will this positive news be enough to cause a VeChain price bounce, or is the downward pressure too intense? Let’s examine the charts and figure out what’s next.
The VET price increased alongside an ascending support trend line in June 2023.
Its rally led to a high of $0.08 in December 2024, marking a surge of more than 500% since the lows.
However, that turned out to be the cycle high, as the VET price fell sharply from then on without experiencing any primary bounces.
The downward movement accelerated in October, when the VET price broke down from the trend line and fell to a low of $0.009.
Even though the price of VET bounced, creating a long lower wick (green icon), it failed to reclaim the diagonal support trend line.
Currently, the VET price trades inside the $0.015 horizontal support area, which marks the bottom of the current cycle.
If it breaks down, VET could plunge by another 75% because there is no support below the current price.

Momentum indicators suggest a breakdown is incoming. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50 while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is negative.
Both are falling, and the MACD has made a bearish cross.
As a result, the VET prediction is bearish, and an eventual price breakdown followed by new lows awaits this year.
While the weekly time frame chart is decisively bearish, the two-hour one offers hope for a significant bounce.
The main reason for this is the wave count, which shows a completed A-B-C structure (red).
Wave B is a symmetrical triangle, while wave C is 0.618 times the length of wave A, confirming the count’s accuracy.

However, it is worth mentioning that momentum indicators have generated no bullish divergence, which is customary during price bottoms.
When combined with the bearish readings from the weekly time frame, the lack of a bullish divergence casts some doubt as to whether the price of VET has reached a bottom.
The main bullish sign comes from the bullish divergence (orange) in the daily time frame, which is created relative to the Oct. 11 price.

Although the divergence has not yet been confirmed, it is evident in the RSI and MACD.
Therefore, the VET price could bounce in the short term, but the long-term trend remains bearish unless the price of VET can reclaim its long-term diagonal support.
VeChain may experience a short-term relief bounce due to the completion of a corrective wave pattern, but broader market signals remain bearish.
The risk of further decline remains high unless VET reclaims its long-term diagonal support.
For now, the possibility of a bounce remains, but caution is warranted because of the bearish long-term signs.