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SUI Drops 18% After November All-Time High — Correction Likely Underway

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • SUI completed a five-wave impulse, peaking at $3.94 before correcting.
  • The $2.20-$2.40 zone is critical for support during consolidation.
  • RSI overbought conditions indicate weakening momentum and potential short-term retracement.

SUI has experienced a strong rally since its August low of $0.46, reaching a new all-time high of $3.94 on Nov. 17, driven by a clear five-wave Elliott structure.

However, the price is now in a corrective phase, consolidating near $3.20 after facing resistance and overbought conditions, signaling the possibility of a larger pullback before the next major move.

SUI Price Analysis

The daily chart for SUI shows a significant upward trajectory after a symmetrical triangle breakout to a new all-time high.

Following its bottom near $0.46 on Aug. 5, SUI initiated a strong bull phase and recently surged to $3.94, marking the peak of a substantial five-wave structure.

This rally aligns with robust bullish momentum but has faced a pullback after reaching overbought RSI levels, signaling the possibility of a larger correction ahead.

SUI breached multiple resistance zones, including $1.50 and $2.50, before encountering rejection near the extended wave (v) target at $3.94.

SUI price analysis
SUIUSD downturn after all-time high | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView 

It dipped below $3 today, Nov. 26, and quickly bounced back up. It is currently traded at $3.20, still 18% down from its all-time high on Nov. 17. 

Key Observations:

  • Clear Elliott Wave Structure: SUI completed a five-wave impulsive move, peaking at $3.94 before initiating a downturn.
  • Key Support Zone: The $2.20-$2.40 range serves as a critical support zone, aligning with prior resistance levels now turned support.
  • RSI Overbought: RSI entered the overbought zone at a recent peak, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and the likelihood of a short-term reversal. 

The ongoing pullback could retest key Fibonacci retracement levels, with $2.50 as immediate support.

If momentum resumes, a breakout above $3.94 could pave the way for further gains toward higher extension levels, potentially targeting $4.50 or beyond.

SUI Price Prediction

The hourly chart for SUI demonstrates a potential corrective structure following its recent five-wave impulsive. The price is likely entering an ABC correction phase, with wave (a) currently testing the key Fibonacci retracement levels inside the descending channel.

This suggests a short-term bounce could follow, but it should end at a lower high as its B wave develops. 

SUI price prediction
SUIUSD wave A could have ended | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView 

The breakout from the descending channel will provide further insight into the next primary trend.

If a lower high of $3.60 is made after a bounce, we can anticipate another stronger momentum downtrend, leading to some Fibonacci retracement levels. 

Key Levels to Watch

Support Levels:

  • $3.12 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement): Immediate support during the corrective phase.
  • $2.61 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement): Strong support aligning with prior consolidation zones.
  • $2.20 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement): Critical support level for maintaining the broader bullish structure.

Resistance Levels:

  • $3.60: Immediate resistance within wave (b) rebound.
  • $3.94: Recent peak; breakout above this level signals trend continuation.
  • $4.50: Potential extended target following wave (b) completion and wave (c) development.

SUI’s ability to hold above $2.61 will confirm the bullish scenario. A decisive breakout above $3.60 would validate wave (b) progression, while failure to sustain above $2.20 may signal a deeper correction.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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