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SUI Price Shows Early Weakness After Hitting New All-Time High

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • SUI completed a five-wave structure, peaking at $3.95.
  • RSI indicates overbought conditions, signaling potential correction.
  • Key support lies at $3.50, with a deeper risk of $3.20.

SUI recently achieved a new all-time high of nearly $4 on Nov. 16 after significantly recovering from its August low of $0.46. This marked the completion of a five-wave Elliott structure driven by strong bullish momentum.

However, overbought Relative Strength Index (RSI) levels and ongoing consolidation suggest a possible pullback before the next major move.

SUI Price Analysis

SUI’s price reached its all-time high of $2.20 on March 28 before declining, bottoming at $0.46 on Aug.5.

This marked a 79% drop, pushing the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) into oversold territory, signaling a potential reversal.

A new uptrend followed, with SUI hitting a higher high of $1.10 on Aug. 12 and a higher low of $0.74 on Sept. 6. Momentum carried SUI to a new all-time high of $2.37 on Oct. 14.

Still, bearish RSI divergence and weakening momentum led to a 32% drop to $1.60 on Oct. 28. After a quick rebound to $2.12, a symmetrical triangle formed around $1.82, identified as wave 4 of a five-wave rise. 

SUI price analysis
SUIUSD consolidating after a new all-time high | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView 

On Nov. 16, SUI reached a new all-time high of nearly $4. However, the RSI indicates overbought conditions, signaling a potential reversal.

The ongoing consolidation suggests that the price may be preparing for a correction or a brief pullback before attempting further upward movement.

Key Observations

  1. Five-Wave Completion: SUI has completed a five-wave Elliott structure, with wave 5 reaching $3.95.
  2. Overbought RSI: The RSI shows overbought conditions
  3. Potential Pullback: Consolidation at the top hints at a possible correction before resuming the uptrend.

SUI Price Prediction

The hourly chart highlights a completed or near-completed five-wave impulsive structure, with its lower degree wave 4 currently consolidating near $3.62.

A descending flat triangle formed after reaching an all-time high, suggesting indecision at this trend stage. 

SUI price prediction
SUIUSD breakout direction will point to the likely outcome | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView 

This is why there are two scenarios ahead. Either its recent high concluded the uptrend or another minor higher high to $4.16 is ahead. 

Momentum remains bullish overall, but the consolidation pattern implies caution, as upward and downward breakouts are possible. If SUI breaks upward, wave (v) could extend toward a higher high. Conversely, a breakdown below the triangle’s support of $3.50 would likely lead to a deeper retracement.

Key Levels to Watch

  1. Immediate Resistance: $3.80 (local high within the triangle).
  2. Upside Target: $4.00 (psychological resistance) and $4.20 (extension of wave (v)).
  3. Support Levels: $3.50 (triangle support) and $3.20 (previous wave (iv) high).
  4. Deeper Support: $2.88 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the current wave).

A breakout above $3.80 could confirm further wave (v) upside, targeting $4.00-$4.20. However, a breakdown below $3.40 may lead to a retest of $3.20 or lower, signaling the end of the current impulsive structure.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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