Key Takeaways
The Shiba Inu (SHIB) price has trended upward at a gradual pace since Aug. 5. After creating a higher low in September, SHIB accelerated its rate of increase last week, creating a large bullish candlestick and breaking out from a descending resistance trend line.
Despite the increase, SHIB still trades inside a long-term horizontal resistance area. Let’s analyze the price action and approximate the chances of a successful breakout.
The weekly chart shows that SHIB has decreased under a descending resistance trend line since March. The decrease led to a low of $0.0000107 in August (white icon).
The price of SHIB bounced afterward, validating the $0.0000130 horizontal support area and creating a long lower wick (white icon).
After hovering under resistance, SHIB finally broke out last week, reaching a high of $0.0000216 inside the $0.0000195 resistance area.
Technical indicators in the weekly time frame are turning bullish for the first time one six months.
This is noticeable from both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD), which are increasing above 50 and 0, respectively (black circle).
As a result, the weekly time frame implies that a breakout is likely soon.
While the weekly time frame SHIB price action and indicator readings are bullish, the daily wave count is leaning bearish.
According to the count, SHIB completed a five-wave decline shaped like a descending wedge. While it has increased since then, the movement resembles a corrective A-B-C structure (black).
If this is true, SHIB has begun wave B to the downside. Even in this correction, the SHIB price will likely reach the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance area. However, that will likely mark the top of the upward movement, which will be a relief rally.
The corrective count is likely because the SHIB price fell below the sub-wave one high (red) at $0.0000162.
While it is still technically possible that the increase is a five-wave diagonal (white), that seems unlikely at the current time.
Neither the RSI nor the MACD have generated any bearish divergences, so the upward movement may continue in the short term.
After last week’s increase, the Shiba Inu price has all but confirmed that it has started its upward movement. However, it is still unclear if the move is corrective or impulsive. The reaction at the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance at $0.0000283-$0.0000325 will be key in deciding the accurate SHIB price prediction.