Key Takeaways
Yesterday, May 28th,, notable transactions totaling nearly 50 million XRP caught the attention of the cryptocurrency community. Whale Alert, a service that monitors significant cryptocurrency transactions, noted two large transfers by the same entity.
The community is bullish as this suggests whales are on the move, but depositing crypto on exchanges usually indicates upcoming selling pressure. The price of XRP is still below $0.55 and has moved sideways since mid-April.
The first noted transfer was 29,280,000 XRP (worth USD 15.4 million) from an undisclosed wallet to Bitstamp, a prominent cryptocurrency exchange. The second transfer moved 19,880,000 XRP to Bitso, another well-known exchange.
Looking at the Santiment data, we can see a mixed picture among whale cohorts (1 million coins and above). The cohort from 1 m to 10 m considers a decrease in XRP from May 19 (blue line). The number of addresses holding between 10 m and 100 m XRP (yellow line) has remained still (around 250 addresses) from April 19. However, in the highest cohort, from 100 m to 1000 m XRP (red line), we saw an uptick of 1 new address.
On the 4-hour chart, we’ve identified a lower-degree symmetrical triangle forming since April 13. Although the May 21 spike was brief, XRP rebounded by making a higher low at $0.52 and is now experiencing another upward movement.
Although today’s increase does not surpass its previous peak, it suggests a strong likelihood of a breakout as XRP has approached its triangle’s apex. Should this occur, we might witness a significant rise, potentially marking the beginning of a new bull phase. The next resistance is at approximately $0.60, coinciding with a descending and horizontal level.
The price could advance beyond this resistance if this marks the start of a new bull phase. The symmetrical triangle likely represents waves 1 and 2, with an anticipated wave 3 aiming for the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, setting a target around $0.70. Moreover, if a subsequent five-wave pattern emerges, it may extend to $0.80 for wave 5.
Alternatively, if XRP breaks below its current symmetrical triangle, it would most likely be headed to its lower ascending support. In this case, it could fall to $0.43, revisiting its April 13 low.