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PENGU Price Jumps 10%, but Key Signals Suggest a Temporary Rally

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

  • PENGU’s price surge coincides with Coinbase listing but risks falling below the descending trendline.
  • Indicators, including the RSI and CMF, reveal weak bullish momentum, reinforcing the potential pullback.
  • PENGU’s price faces an overhead resistance, which could trigger the memecoin to go toward another all-time low.

The price of the Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) token has increased by 10% in the last 24 hours. This comes days after the memecoin tanked to an all-time low of $0.0093.

However, despite this recent hike, several indicators reveal that this could be a brief rally before another decline. With trading volume failing to confirm strong buying momentum, here is why PENGU’s uptrend could be a trap for late buyers.

Weak Momentum Threatens PENGU’s Recovery

PENGU’s price surged to an all-time high of $0.057 after its launch and airdrop but has since dropped 81%. While the token recently gained 10%, CCN found that the jump likely happened due to Coinbase’s announcement to list the asset.

According to the crypto exchange, trading will start at 9 AM Pacific Time (PT) on Feb. 13. On the 4-hour chart, the price increase to $0.010 drove the token above the descending trendline, which it has been stuck in for nearly a month.

As of this writing, PENGU’s price is slipping back into the channel. The failure to sustain its gains suggests that the recent surge might be a dead cat bounce.

A dead cat bounce indicates that the asset recovery is temporary, and the downtrend experienced earlier might continue afterward.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) position also aligns with this thesis. During the uptrend, the RSI reading rose above the 50.00 neutral points, indicating bullish momentum.

PENGU price faces failed breakout
PENGU/USDT 4-Hour Chart | Credit: TradingView

However, as seen above, the indicator is trending towards falling below the signal line. If that happens, the dead cat bounce might be confirmed, and PENGU’s price could reverse all its gains.

PENGU Price Prediction: New Low Looming

The daily chart shows a similar setup, with overhead resistance at $0.017—where the red Supertrend line sits. Typically, when the green line of the Supertrend is below the price, it indicates a buy signal.

Since the indicator is above the price, it signals a sale. If PENGU attempts to reach $0.017, it could face a pullback, confirming the fakeout.

In addition, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) reading failed to rise above the zero line despite the recent price increase. The CMF position indicates that PENGU continues to struggle to attract high demand to sustain the rebound.

If this remains the same, the Pudgy Penguins token’s value could slide again. Using the Fibonacci retracement levels, PENGU could drop to another all-time low of $0.0035 if the buying pressure completely fades.

PENGU price to decline after rebound
PENGU/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

On the flip side, this might not be the case if momentum becomes bullish and buying pressure increases.

The cryptocurrency could rally toward the 0.618 Fib level at $0.045 in that scenario. However, to attain these targets, the key resistance at $0.019 and $0.029 might play a key role.

Rising above these levels could validate the uptrend, while failure to breach them could trigger another correction.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space. With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run. He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives. In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends. At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
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