Key Takeaways
Polygon has struggled in the current market cycle. Even after rebranding from MATIC to POL, the price failed to gain traction, consistently creating lower highs.
The decline accelerated after December 2024, triggering a breakdown from the long-term support at $0.34, sending POL to the lowest price since 2020.
With the downtrend in full force, let’s analyze the price action and see what lies ahead.
The POL price has fallen since its all-time high of $2.92 in December 2021. During this time, POL created several lower highs, the most recent in December 2024 (red icon).
This accelerated the downward movement and caused a breakdown from the $0.35 horizontal support area, which has existed since 2021. The breakdown led to a five-year low of $0.196 in March.

Technical indicators are bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are falling.
The RSI is below 50, the MACD is negative, and no bullish divergence has developed.
As a result, the weekly time frame suggests the POL prediction is bearish, and the decline will continue.
The daily time frame offers a more optimistic POL outlook. While the POL price has fallen significantly since December 2024, the decline is contained inside a descending wedge, considered a bullish pattern that usually causes breakouts.
The Polygon price is nearing the end of the pattern, so a decisive movement will likely happen soon.
Technical indicators support this outlook. The RSI and MACD have generated bullish divergences (orange), which have not yet led to a significant price movement.
Finally, the wave count shows a completed five-wave downward movement, which could be the leading diagonal in another long-term five-wave decrease.

If a breakout happens, the closest resistance will be at $0.40, created by a horizontal resistance and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement resistance level.
Nevertheless, any possible breakouts will be relief rallies before the POL price resumes its downward trend.
The POL price broke down from a key horizontal support area at $0.34, falling to a five-year low.
While the price could bounce in the short term, the long-term POL trend is bearish, and the price trades below this area.