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Pi Network (PI) Price Falls 18% in April — Bullish Divergence Signals Rebound Ahead

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

  • The price of PI dropped 18% in April, falling from $0.73 to $0.58 after repeated failures to break resistance.
  • A recent crossover on the MACD indicator shows bullish momentum returning, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
  • With an ADX reading of 8.59, the current downtrend lacks strength, allowing bulls to take control.

Since PI, the native coin of the Pi Network, peaked near $3 in February, its price action has been largely bearish, aside from a few short-lived rebounds. As April draws to a close, PI has recorded an 18% monthly decline.

This drop saw the coin fall from $0.73 to $0.58 after repeatedly failing to break through a key resistance level.

However, with May fast approaching, there are signs that the PI coin price could be gearing up for a potential recovery. Here’s why.

PI Performance Likely to Change

Between March 14 and early April, PI’s price traded within a descending channel, resulting in a steep drop from $1.69 to $0.57. In the latter part of April, the coin entered a consolidation phase.

Amid this consolidation, PI’s price fluctuated between $0.55 and $0.73. Despite several attempts, this sideways movement failed to produce a breakout, with bulls largely inactive.

However, with a new month approaching, things seem to be changing. One reason for this sentiment is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

The MACD measures momentum using the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). When the shorter EMA crosses above the longer EMA, it is a bullish crossover.

If it is the other way around, it signifies a bearish outlook. On the daily chart, the MACD has turned positive amid the PI coin price correction and consolidation.

At the same time, the 12 EMA (blue) has crossed over the 26 EMA (orange), indicating a bullish crossover that favors PI’s price.

PI coin price recovery in motion
PI/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

This position also indicates a bullish divergence when compared with the price. If sustained, PI’s price could erase some of its losses in April within the first few days of May.

PI Price Analysis: Recovery Soon

Another look at the PI/USD daily chart shows that other indicators, including the Average Directional Index (ADX) and the Money Flow Index (MFI), seem to support the recovery.

The ADX, represented in red, measures the strength of a trend, regardless of its direction. A reading above 25 signals a strong directional movement, whether bullish or bearish.

On the other hand, an ADX reading below 25 suggests weak momentum and a lack of clear trend direction. As of this writing, the ADX rating is 8.59, indicating that the PI coin price downtrend has weakened.

Hence, any move by bulls to take control could send the market value soaring. In addition, the MFI appears to be flirting with the neutral line, indicating that some market participants may be buying the dip.

PI price analysis
PI/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

Should this trend continue, PI’s price might experience a double-digit rally toward $0.96. If buying pressure increases, the market value could rise to $1.39.

On the flip side, if the bulls fail to keep up the pressure, this prediction might not pass. In that scenario, PI’s coin value could slide to $0.41.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a seasoned crypto reporter at CCN, currently based in Lagos, Nigeria. His journey into crypto began in 2017, but it wasn't until 2020—after receiving a slice of the Uniswap airdrop—that things truly clicked. At the time, Victor was learning the ropes of copywriting. That turning point led him to a role as a crypto copywriter for an affiliate marketing firm working with top crypto brokers. At the firm, he produced educational content and price predictions that significantly boosted visibility and conversions for clients, including a standout XRP price prediction that topped Google SERPs during the 2021 bull run. Victor transitioned into crypto journalism in 2022, joining AMBCrypto as a writer and analyst. There, he sharpened his skills in on-chain and technical analysis, playing a part in the outlet’s growth into a top-tier crypto media platform. In 2024, he continued his journey at BeInCrypto, where he worked with the analytics team using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, CryptoQuant, and IntoTheBlock to deliver in-depth reports on Bitcoin, altcoins, and memecoins. Now at CCN, Victor specializes in real-time news, on-chain metrics, and technical analysis. Here, he analyzes several cryptos including those introduced as a result of degen culture. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan—a background that allows him to simplify complex technical insights for a broader audience while keeping content engaging, factual and impactful.
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