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PEPE Forms Bullish Pattern Mirroring August 2024 as Downtrend Winds Down

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • PEPE completed a complex W-X-Y-X-Z correction.
  • The five-wave structure suggests a reversal may be underway.
  • A retest of support is likely before the next major move up.

PEPE has recently completed a major corrective structure labeled W-X-Y-X-Z on the 4-hour timeframe, finding strong demand in a historical accumulation zone. 

The recovery from the April 7 bottom aligns with the beginning of a new impulsive structure, though a short-term pullback may be underway. 

While the broader structure appears bullish, a final dip toward support may offer a better entry before further upside potential unfolds.

PEPE Price Analysis

The 4-hour chart shows PEPE bottomed at $0.0000057 on April 7, completing a prolonged W-X-Y-X-Z correction.

This confirms the demand in the green support zone, which has been seen multiple times.

This zone has acted as a reliable launchpad for rallies, and we saw a bullish fractal forming similar to the pattern in August 2024. 

PEPE price analysis
PEPEUSD bullish fractal seen | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

The recovery since March 11 led to a breakout from the descending channel pattern, forming an ABC corrective structure to a high of $0.0000092 on March 26.

On April 7, the final wave of Z, the demand zone’s lower boundary, was again retested, forming a double bottom.

A five-wave impulse brought the price from the demand zone to a high of $0.0000077 on April 14.

The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence at the low on April 7 confirms the reversal thesis.

The broader picture shows that a new bull phase may begin if this support holds again, targeting higher Fibonacci extension levels in the long run.

PEPE Price Prediction

Zooming into the 1-hour chart, we observe a completed five-wave impulse from the April 7 low, followed by a developing ABC correction. 

Wave (a) likely bottomed around $0.0000069, with wave (b) recently completed.

PEPE price prediction
PEPEUSD ABC correction developing | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

If this structure unfolds, wave (c) can retest the support zone at $0.00000659 before PEPE can advance higher. 

The anticipated decline would complete a higher-degree wave 2, offering a solid launch point for a bullish reversal.

Fibonacci confluence supports this, with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $0.00000659 as the next target.

The RSI is neutral, allowing room for further downside before hitting oversold territory.

A significant impulse could begin post pullback, targeting 1.272 to 1.618 Fib extensions at $0.0000096 to $0.0000106.

A sustained breakout above $0.0000079 would confirm early bullish momentum, while a decline below $0.00000659 could threaten the bullish outlook. 

Key Levels to Watch

  • Major Support: $0.00000659, $0.00000532 (historical demand).
  • Immediate Resistance: $0.0000070 (0.236 Fib extension).
  • Breakout Confirmation: Sustained move above $0.0000079 (0.618 Fib extension).
  • Invalidation Level: Break below $0.00000532.
  • Fractal Watch Zone: $0.00000963–$0.00001068 (potential wave (iii) extension targets).
Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Nikola Lazic is a cryptocurrency analyst and investor working in the industry since 2017. He holds a bachelor's degree in Sociology, which enables him to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently his preferred analytical tool is Elliott Wave Theory in combination with price action analysis. Combining his experience in trading and investing with knowledge in content writing he strives to bring the most accurate and actionable information. Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, On-chain metrics, Research reports.
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