Key Takeaways
The NEAR price has increased since Nov. 4, reaching a high of $5.75 before declining. While the price failed to break out from its long-term channel, it has regained its footing and could make another breakout attempt soon.
Will the next one be successful, and how long will NEAR continue to increase if this is the case? Let’s find out.
During the Redacted conference in Bangkok , Near Protocol founder Illia Polosukhinat announced plans to build a 1.4 trillion-parameter open-source AI model. For comparison, this is over three times larger than Meta’s Llama model.
The project started on Nov. 10 with a 500 million parameter and will progress in seven stages, growing larger each time. The funding will be financed by $160 million in token sales.
Additionally, NEAR is testing an AI agent that can launch memecoins and do tasks such as book flights or order food.
In other positive NEAR news, the protocol announced that the mainnet is fully compatible with Metamask and made public an integration with the Infinex app.
The weekly time frame NEAR price analysis shows a decline inside a descending parallel channel since March. So far, the channel has existed for 245 days. During this time, NEAR has made numerous failed breakout attempts, the most recent this week (black icon).
The ongoing upward movement started in March after the price bounced at the channel’s support trend line (white) and $4 horizontal support area.
After creating several higher lows, the price confirmed its bounce with a bullish engulfing candlestick last week.
Technical indicators support the increase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) both generated a bullish divergence (green) before the upward movement and are increasing. However, they have not crossed their bullish thresholds yet.
So, the weekly time frame leans bullish, though a price breakout above the channel and RSI/MACD movement above 50 and 0, respectively, is needed to confirm it.
The weekly time frame wave count aligns with the positive price action and indicator readings. There are two possible outcomes for the long-term NEAR price trend.
NEAR has either started an A-B-C structure (black) or a new five-wave increase (white) in October 2023. Both counts lead to more upside.
If the NEAR price is in an A-B-C structure, it could reach a high of $11.20, giving waves A: C the same length.
On the other hand, if NEAR has started a five-wave increase, it could go much higher. The first target is at $16.32, giving wave three 1.61 times the length of wave one.
In any case, the NEAR trend is likely bullish. A breakout from the channel will confirm that the upward movement has started.
The NEAR price has not yet broken out from its long-term channel, though it gives signs that it will do so soon. Positive NEAR news regarding its AI model could further boost its performance.
If NEAR breaks out, the wave count gives an initial target of $11.30, which would be an increase of 120% from the current price.