Key Takeaways
MOVE shows signs of a potential breakout after a prolonged corrective phase.
The price recently tested key resistance levels, and Elliott Wave analysis suggests a developing five-wave impulsive move.
With the descending channel pattern nearing resolution, traders watch for confirmation of sustained bullish momentum in the coming sessions.
The 4-hour chart of MOVE illustrates a well-defined descending channel formation that has guided the price action for 45 days.
This pattern, often a bullish reversal structure, aligns with the Elliott Wave corrective count, which appears to have completed a five-wave structure to its peak of 1.20 on Dec. 26.
The price has found local support near $0.50, a historically significant level, which aligns with previous demand zones and a key Fibonacci retracement.
The wave count suggests that the asset has likely completed a complex ABCDE correction, with Wave E marking a significant bottoming point.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart remains neutral, suggesting neither strong buying nor selling pressure at current levels. This could indicate consolidation before a breakout.
Additionally, the price has tested the upper boundary of the descending channel but has yet to sustain a clear breakout.
The key resistance zone near $0.60 remains a crucial level to reclaim for a confirmed bullish reversal. A clean move above this region could lead to further upside potential, targeting the next significant resistance near $0.85.
However, failure to break out could see the price retest the $0.50 support, with a deeper decline toward $0.45 in a bearish scenario.
The 1-hour MOVE chart highlights a developing five-wave impulsive move that appears to be in progress. The breakout attempt has begun, with Wave (i) forming a higher high, followed by a corrective Wave (ii).
The structure suggests the market may initiate a bullish cycle, provided the price maintains support above the recent low.
If this impulse wave count holds, we anticipate a move towards $0.65 in the short term, with Wave (iii) pushing beyond the resistance cluster near $0.60.
A retracement following this move could test the $0.58-$0.60 range before a final leg higher towards $0.70-$0.75, aligning with Fibonacci extension targets.
Alternatively, if momentum stalls and the price fails to breach the $0.60-$0.65 resistance, a potential corrective ABC move could unfold, targeting $0.55 as a retest zone before resuming upward.
The RSI on the 1-hour chart is hovering near mid-range levels, indicating a neutral stance, which suggests traders should monitor volume spikes and price confirmation before entering long positions.
The bullish scenario remains intact as long as the price holds above $0.50, while a breakdown below this level could invalidate the wave count and result in further declines.