Key Takeaways
Litecoin has failed to break out from a key resistance level five times.
The most recent failed breakout attempt led to a significant crash that has nearly invalidated the chances of new highs in 2025.
With the Litecoin price hanging by a thread above support, the main question is whether it can prevent a breakdown or if the downward trend is in its infancy.
Since December 2024, the Litecoin price unsuccessfully attempted to break out from a diagonal resistance trend line five times (red icons).
The price moved above the trend line at the start of October, but could not sustain its increase. Instead, it struggled at the $130 horizontal resistance area and crashed.
Litecoin’s crash was massive. It briefly dropped the price to a low of $52.71, declining below a 1,200-day ascending support trendline.
However, Litecoin’s price prevented the breakdown, creating a long lower wick (green icon) that put it in the middle of its long-term range.
Technically, the bullish trend remains intact as long as the price of Litecoin does not close below this level.
However, the trend line is at $70, 25% below the current price, so even a retest of the trend line would mark a significant price decline.

Momentum indicators have also turned bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) crashed below 50, while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) created a bearish cross (black circles).
Because of these readings, the Litecoin price prediction is considered bearish. However, examining a lower time frame is necessary to determine whether the LTC price will return to the trend line.
The long-term chart does not invalidate Litecoin’s bullish price prediction, though the only remaining valid count is hanging by a thread.
If this count is accurate, Litecoin has finished wave E of an A-B-C-D-E (red) in a seven-year triangle, which has existed since the 2018 high.
With this possibility, Litecoin is expected to soon break out of the triangle and rally toward $300 and $640.

However, the short-term Litecoin price analysis does not align with the count.
Litecoin’s upward movement from June 2022 resembles a corrective structure rather than an impulsive one.
The price action has unfolded within an ascending parallel channel, with a significant overlap within the structure.

The price of Litecoin trades in the channel’s lower portion, making an eventual breakdown and decline likely.
The channel’s support trend line is very close to the ascending support trend line, so a breakdown of one will likely result in a breakdown of the other.
If that happens, Litecoin’s price could crash to its bear market lows.
Litecoin’s price action is leaning bearish. The price failed to break out multiple times and just lost a critical support level.
Litecoin could fall by another 25% to its diagonal support at $70 if the downward movement continues.
Alternatively, a breakout from the long-term symmetrical triangle could take the price to new highs, though this seems less likely.