Key Takeaways
After a strong run through most of the year, Hyperliquid (HYPE) has stumbled, falling more than 35% since hitting its all-time high in mid-September.
Still, not all signs point to weakness. Technical indicators suggest the token may be regaining strength, hinting at a short-term rebound.
With momentum stabilizing and a potential bullish setup emerging, traders are watching closely for a breakout that could help HYPE recover some of its recent losses.
Since April, the Hyperliquid price has increased alongside an ascending support trend line, bouncing above it multiple times (green icons).
Its most recent bounce was in September (green icon), leading to a new all-time high price of $59.45 on Sept. 18.
However, that marked the top, since the HYPE price has fallen considerably since, wiping out the gains from the past three months.
Hyperliquid broke down from the ascending support trend line and confirmed it as resistance (red icon) before accelerating its crash further.
While the decline culminated with a low of $23.50 on Oct. 10, the price of Hyperliquid bounced, creating a massive long lower wick (green icon), validating the $32.50 horizontal area as support.
The Hyperliquid price movement is unclear. While the price has created several higher lows since the crash, it has also broken down from the ascending support trend line, creating confusion as to whether the trend is bullish or bearish.

Momentum indicators provide some clarity since they are leaning bullish.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has generated a bullish divergence (orange), and the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) has made a bullish cross (black circle).
So, while the long-term Hyperliquid price prediction is unclear, the short-term chart suggests a bounce is likely.
A closer look at the Hyperliquid wave count supports the bullish, short-term technical analysis.
According to the count, HYPE has completed an A-B-C correction (red) ongoing since the all-time high.
Since the correction is contained inside a descending wedge, its breakout will confirm it is over.

While it is unclear how this fits with the long-term price movement, an initial bounce is expected, taking the price of Hyperliquid to the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance at $46.40-$49.45.
Once the HYPE price gets there, the reaction will determine if the future trend is bullish or bearish.
Aster (ASTER) was seen as a Hyperliquid competitor shortly after its debut, which coincided with multiple endorsements from Binance founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao.
However, the price crashed shortly after its debut and has fared much worse than Hyperliquid, declining by 60% since the all-time high.

There are similarities between the two. Specifically, Aster trades inside a descending wedge pattern and has created similar bullish divergences.
However, Aster’s price has crashed below multiple critical resistances, so the reaction will likely be subdued even during a breakout.
While the long-term trend for Hyperliquid remains uncertain, the short-term technical analysis suggests a relief rally could be on the horizon.
A breakout from the current wedge pattern could spark a move toward a key resistance level around $46–$49.
Whether this bounce turns into a full recovery or just a temporary bounce will depend on how HYPE reacts at those critical resistance zones.