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Ethereum (ETH) Fails to Break Free from Descending Channel Despite Bounce Toward $3,500

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

  • Ethereum price attempted to climb above $3,500 over the weekend but failed.
  • The cryptocurrency trades within a falling channel amid bearish momentum.
  • ETH price risk falling below $3,000 as a key indicator flashed a sell signal.

Since mid-December, Ethereum (ETH) price has failed to hit $4,000. Over the weekend, the cryptocurrency appeared ready to move toward the zone again.

But like other times since the New Year began, it failed to notch the $3,500 not to talk of the $4,000 mark. This is because ETH has continued to wobble within a tight-trading range.

With the cryptocurrency contained within the bearish pattern, this analysis highlights what could be next for the price.

Ethereum Remains Range-Bound

On the daily chart, Ethereum’s price remains confined within a descending channel.

A descending channel is a bearish pattern formed by two falling trendlines. The upper trendline represents resistance, while the lower trendline represents support.

When the price moves between these lines, it indicates that the downtrend might continue. According to the image below, the major resistance lies around $3,474. This region was one of the reasons ETH failed to hit $3,500 over the weekend.

Furthermore, the support line of the pattern sits around $3,142, which has prevented a breakdown below $3,000. A look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that the reading is still below the neutral 50.00 point.

Ethereum price stuck in downtrend
ETH/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

This position indicates that the momentum around Ethereum is bearish. If this remains the case, then ETH’s price is unlikely to climb in the $4,000 direction.

ETH Price Faces Stiff Resistance

Ethereum’s price action on the 4-hour chart also aligns with this sentiment. This is because the Supertrend indicator has flashed red on the chart, and is above Ethereum price.

The Supertrend  provides buy and sell signals based on its position relative to the closing price. A buy signal appears when the Supertrend line drops below the closing price and turns green, indicating an upward trend.

On the other hand, a sell signal occurs when the indicator rises above the closing price and turns red, suggesting a potential downward trend. Since it is the latter, it is likely that ETH price might face an correction in the short term.

Looking at the Fibonacci retracement indicator, Ethereum price is on the verge of  dropping below the 0.50 ratio at $3,330. If this happens, this could accelerate a downturn toward the 0.236 Fib level at $3,110.

Reaching this level might mean that a double-digit correction could be next. Should that be the case, then ETH’s value could  drop to $2,914.

Ethereum price analysis and forecast
ETH/USD 4-Hour Chart | Credit: TradingView

On the flip side, if Ethereum price resists declining bel0w $3,350, this potential collapse might not take place. Instead, the cryptocurrency could climb to $3,746 and potentially hit $4,000.

In a highly bullish scenario, ETH price could also rally toward $4,500 as long as demand increases as this could invalidate the bearish bias.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space. With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run. He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives. In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends. At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
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