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Cardano (ADA) Lands in Accumulation Territory Following Failure to Retest $1

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

Cardano’s (ADA) price has plunged to $0.60 as the broader market faces intense sell-offs. This decline has erased nearly all of ADA’s chances of bouncing toward the $1 mark.

At the same time, the recent pullback seems to have presented an opportunity for long-term holders.

While ADA remains under pressure amid its hawkish condition, historical trends suggest that the token might still have a brighter future ahead of it even though it might not be short-term.

Key Metric Hints at Potential Cardano Bounce

One key metric for spotting a cryptocurrency’s local top or bottom is the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. The MVRV ratio is a key indicator that helps assess whether an asset is overvalued or undervalued.

A high ratio suggests that many holders are profitable, often preceding selling pressure and potential price corrections.

On the other hand, a low MVRV indicates that the market is in an accumulation phase, where assets are trading below their realized value.

Historically, ADA hits the accumulation phase once the 30-day MVRV ratio is between -22% and -10%.

At this level, if every ADA holder sells, the average return on investment will be lost.

As of this writing, the metric stands at -15%. This indicates that the altcoin is undervalued.

Cardano's price is undervalued
ADA 30-Day MVRV Ratio | Credit: Santiment

Considering this position, holders are unlikely to keep up the intense selling pressure. Furthermore, Cardano’s price will likely experience relief soon if this happens.

ADA Price Oversold, Forms Bullish Divergence

The technical perspective also seems to share the sentiment. According to the daily chart, Cardano’s price decline has sent the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to the oversold region.

The RSI is a technical indicator that measures momentum, and also shows when an asset is overbought or oversold. When the reading is below 30, it is oversold.

On the other hand, when the reading is above 70, it is overbought. Apart from being oversold, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is another indicator that supports ADA’s rebound.

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The CMF typically measures the accumulation or distribution level around a cryptocurrency. When it falls, it indicates rising selling pressure.

However, the CMF has broken above the signal line, indicating rising buying pressure. If bulls sustain this trend, Cardano’s price might rise above the resistance at $0.68.

Cardano's price eyes rebound
ADA/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

Should that be the case, the altcoin’s value might rise to $0.80. If the broader market condition improves, this prediction could be higher.

If so, ADA could climb to $0.80. However, the recent correction might continue if Cardano’s price slides under the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.50. In that case, ADA might decline below $0.30.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space. With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run. He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives. In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends. At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
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