Key Takeaways
Avalanche (AVAX) is approaching a pivotal moment as it tests the $26 resistance level, a breakout point that could begin a significant rally.
The wave count is similar to recent surges in PENDLE and LINK.
Let’s look at the charts to see if AVAX can pull a similar rally.
The weekly time frame AVAX analysis shows that the price has traded inside a descending parallel channel since the cycle high of March 2024.
The price bounced in April (green icon) and reclaimed the $20 horizontal area, now likely to act as support.
However, AVAX still trades slightly below the channel’s midline.
The wave count is extremely bullish. It suggests that AVAX has completed a long-term A-B-C correction (red) since the cycle high.
If that is the case, an upward movement has started that will cause a breakout from the channel.
The two targets for the rally’s top are at $74 and $110, respectively.
The main thing that needs to happen to confirm the bullish AVAX prediction is that the price needs to close above $26.

This will take the price of AVAX above the channel’s midline and momentum indicators to cross bullish.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50 while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is nearly positive.
A continued price increase will cause both to move into bullish territory and confirm the bullish AVAX price prediction.
The daily time frame AVAX technical analysis is even more optimistic, showing an extremely bullish 1-2/1-2 wave formation.
The same formation led to massive increases in the prices of PENDLE and LINK last week.

If the count is accurate, the price of AVAX is starting sub-wave three (black) of wave three (green), which is the most rapid portion of an increase.
Once AVAX breaks out above $26, it will confirm that the bullish trend has started.
Unlike the weekly time frame, daily momentum indicators are already bullish.
The RSI is above 50, and the MACD made a bullish cross, supporting the bullish AVAX prediction.
If AVAX closes above $26, it could confirm the start of a parabolic upward movement.
Targets of $74 and $110 are in play for the current market cycle top.
The weekly and daily charts show strength, making an AVAX price breakout imminent.
Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.
He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.
Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.
He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.
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