Home Crypto Analysis Technical Analysis Polkadot’s DOT Breaks Resistance — Bull Phase Incoming, But also Signs of Caution

Polkadot’s DOT Breaks Resistance — Bull Phase Incoming, But also Signs of Caution

Nikola Lazic
Last Updated November 7, 2023 2:58 PM
Giuseppe Ciccomascolo
Verified by Giuseppe Ciccomascolo
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Key Takeaways

  • DOT broke a significant resistance and is eyeing $6.
  • Fundamentals look strong as technological upgrades continue throughout the bear market.
  • Signs of caution ahead, pointed by technical indicators.

Polkadot’s native token, DOT, has experienced a turbulent market journey since its nearly $8 peak in February, enduring a 55% decline that hit a low of $3.50 on October 20. This sharp decline sharply contrasts with its all-time high of $55 in November 2021, highlighting the crypto market’s inherent volatility.

In recent times, DOT has exhibited signs of resurgence, surging over 40%, and generating discussions about an impending bull run. This renewed strength is underpinned by strategic partnerships, substantial platform improvements, and a thriving community.

However, as DOT approaches a critical resistance level just below $6, both investors and enthusiasts should exercise caution. The path forward for Polkadot holds promise but is also riddled with potential challenges.

In this article, we will delve into the factors driving DOT’s potential upward trajectory and the considerations investors should keep in mind as they navigate the market.

Fundamentals Overview

Many things have changed since its launch in 2020 and the team behind Polakadot continued improving its platform ecosystem and infrastructure further on.

Robust Development and Ecosystem Growth

Polkadot’s ecosystem has witnessed a significant surge in developer activity  throughout 2022, reaching all-time highs on GitHub. Key partnerships with NFT marketplaces in the music and fashion industries, such as Beatport and Aventus, have expanded Polkadot’s reach. Collaborations with major corporations like Toyota and Sony highlight Polkadot’s appeal to mainstream enterprises.

Advancements in Technology and Interoperability

The introduction of XCM v3 has marked a crucial milestone, enhancing Polkadot’s cross-chain communication capabilities. Multiple forkless runtime upgrades signify a maturing network poised for further growth. The implementation of nomination pools has democratized staking, resulting in a threefold increase in bonded DOT and a significant rise in active participants.

Community and Education Initiatives

An active developer community and the presence of the Polkadot Blockchain Academy emphasize the network’s commitment to nurturing talent and innovation. Educational programs like the Learn & Earn course with Revolut have bolstered user engagement and network participation.

These developments underscore that despite fluctuations in price, Polkadot remains committed to advancing its technology, expanding business partnerships, and fostering a vibrant community. The Web3 Foundation, integral to Polkadot, has recently unveiled its 2024 initiative, committing $22.08 million and 5 million DOT tokens to support the Polkadot Treasury’s community funding. Led by the foundation’s new CEO, this initiative represents a $41 million commitment to bolster the Polkadot network.

DOT Price Analysis

While Polkadot has achieved remarkable technological progress and engaged in strategic initiatives, its native token, DOT, has faced challenges in the 2023 market. The year began with optimism as DOT rallied 87% from its December 31 low of $4.28, reaching a peak near $8 in February. However, the journey since then has been marked by fluctuations.

Bull market staring?
DOT on the rise

The momentum, while initially promising, proved short-lived, with DOT yielding to a bearish trend. This downturn led to a new low at $3.60 on October 20, potentially marking the conclusion of the bear market correction that had persisted since May 2021.

The respite from the downward trajectory in late October, characterized by a breach above the descending resistance, hints at the early stages of a potential bull market. However, this optimism is tempered by a couple of cautionary signals.

The first signal is the imminent resistance just below the $6 mark, a historically significant barrier influencing DOT’s price direction. The second is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), hovering at the delicate 70% mark on the daily chart, approaching overbought conditions.

Currently, DOT maintains its position, suggesting the potential for an extended rally toward the $6 threshold. However, the true test lies ahead. How the token responds upon reaching this critical juncture will provide crucial insights. A gradual retracement that respects the October 20 low could confirm the onset of a bull market. In contrast, a sharp rejection and a drop below the $4 level may suggest that the recent breakout was a fleeting surge. This would raise doubts about the sustainability of DOT’s upward momentum.


Please note that the contents of this article are not financial or investing advice. The information provided in this article is the author’s opinion only and should not be considered as offering trading or investing recommendations. We do not make any warranties about the completeness, reliability and accuracy of this information. The cryptocurrency market suffers from high volatility and occasional arbitrary movements. Any investor, trader, or regular crypto users should research multiple viewpoints and be familiar with all local regulations before committing to an investment.

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