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Shiba Inu (SHIB) Exchange Supply Drops as Price Aims to Stop 17% Decline

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

Shiba Inu (SHIB) supply on exchanges has dropped to the lowest level since April 2021. This decline comes despite SHIB’s price inability to rally for much of the year.

Typically, the drop in exchange supply should curb selling pressure. While that has not happened yet, it appears that the consolidation phase SHIB has been facing might soon end. Here is why.

SHIB Exchange Supply Hits Multi-Year Low

At the beginning of the year, SHIB’s supply on exchanges was 141.26 trillion. When the supply on exchanges increases, it indicates a vote of no-confidence on an asset’s price action as holders are willing to sell.

On the other hand, a decline means holders are pulling their holding off exchanges, which is a bullish sign. SHIB’s exchange supply has dropped to 106.96 trillion as of this writing.

This indicates that the selling pressure around SHIB is fading. If sustained, this could also ease SHIB’s price correction.

In the last 30 days, SHIB’s price has decreased by 17%, aligning with the broader market trend, which continues to face a dearth of liquidity.

SHIB supply on exchanges falls
SHIB Supply on Exchanges | Credit: Santiment

Support Over Resistance

Besides the declining exchange supply, on-chain data from IntoTheBlock also agrees that the token might soon experience stability.

One indicator that supports this bias is the In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP). The IOMAP shows potential resistance and support levels, considering the volume of unrealized losses or profits.

The higher the volume of money, the stronger the support. Conversely, a higher volume of money indicates resistance.

At the time of writing, the major support for SHIB is around $0.000012. At this level, 23,200 addresses hold over 19 trillion tokens.

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This volume outweighs the major resistance of around $0.000015, where 10,680 addresses hold over 12 trillion SHIB in unrealized losses.

Due to this difference, SHIB’s price is likely to rise past $0.000015 in the short term and this could lead to a new monthly high.

SHIB's price analysis support levels
SHIB In/Out of Money Around Price | Credit: IntoTheBlock

SHIB Price Targets Higher Values

In addition, the 4-hour chart also shows that SHIB’s price is likely to erase a major part of the 17% correction. According to the image below, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reading has turned positive.

This indicates rising bullish momentum and is validated by the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). As of this writing, the 12 EMA (blue) has crossed above the 26 EMA (orange), indicating a potential uptrend.

If this remains the same, SHIB’s price might jump to the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $0.000017. If demand for the token increases, the price could reach $0.000020.

SHIB price analysis
SHIB/USD 4-Hour Chart | Credit: TradingView

However, in a bearish scenario, SHIB might fail to reach the above levels. Instead, the value could sink to $0.000011.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space. With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run. He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives. In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends. At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
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