Key Takeaways
Since peaking at $430 on Sept. 10, 2021, QNT has experienced a prolonged bear market, culminating in a recent retest of key support levels.
Recent signs suggest a potential end to its consolidation phase, possibly signaling the start of a new bullish trend.
After reaching its all-time high of $430 on Sept. 10, 2021, QNT has been in a bear market, first falling to $40 in June 2022.
On Oct. 19, 2022, QNT ended its first major recovery since the all-time high at $230, after which it entered another period of continuous declining price action.
On Aug. 5, the QNT price fell close to $50, and on Nov. 4, it again retested this horizontal zone, ending on a slightly higher low of $54.
This could have marked the conclusion of the highest-degree WXY correction from the all-time high, especially as the daily chart Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell to the oversold zone at 30%.
We saw a 22% increase, and although the price is still bearish, there are signs of the starting bull phase. The first is that QNT established a higher price plateau above $50, with the RSI touching the oversold zone.
Second, from October’s peak in 2022, we have seen a three-wave advancement to the downside, a typical sub-division of the corrective waves. Finally, its bullish price action came after a period of sideways movement, indicating that QNT might have finished its consolidation phase.
Despite these positive indications, further confirmations are needed to ensure the coming bull phase.
Zooming into the 4-hour chart and analyzing the wave structure, we can see that from Aug. 5 to Nov. 3, QNT made a five-wave advancement and a three-wave retracement. This is a typical pattern for the beginning of the new uptrend.
The rise from Nov. 3 could be the first sub-wave of the larger wave 3. Before further upward movement, a retracement is now expected as the lower-degree wave 2 to $59.
If this plays out, we will see a next higher low that will validate our assumption. However, the strongest confirmation will be surpassing the previous high of $80 on Sept. 26.
According to this count, our first likely target is $102 at the descending resistance. Still, a breakout above could lead to $120 and develop a five-wave pattern, conclusively confirming the bullish phase.