Historically, DOT has not had a maximum supply, so the proposal marks a significant shift in its tokenomics.
Combined with the DOT price bouncing after its all-time low, the chances of a long-term bottom have risen considerably.
Polkadot Hard Cap Proposal
On Sept. 14, the Polkadot team announced that its Decentralized Autonomous Organization (DAO) had passed a proposal to introduce a hard cap on the DOT supply.
Today, 1.6 billion DOT exist, with 120 million minted each year. There is no supply cap, so the DOT supply will likely increase in perpetuity.
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By 2040, the only model would have led to a supply of 3.4 billion, which will be only 1.91 billion with the new modes.
DOT Price Analysis
The weekly chart shows that DOT fell to a new all-time low of $3 in June 2025, breaking below the $3.80 horizontal support area, which had existed for nearly two years.
However, instead of breaking down to new lows, Polkadot bounced almost immediately afterward, reclaiming the horizontal support area.
These deviations usually lead to sustained movements in the other direction, which has yet to transpire for DOT.
Nevertheless, Polkadot’s price maintains its higher low above the $3.70 horizontal support area, so the bullish projection is still valid.
In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) created bullish divergences (orange) before the breakout and have increased since.
So, the most likely long-term DOT prediction is a gradual increase toward the $11 horizontal resistance area, which is also the range high.
Can DOT Break Out?
The daily time frame Polkadot price analysis shows that the price has increased alongside an ascending support trend line since the all-time low.
Combined with the $4.56 horizontal resistance area, the trend line creates an ascending triangle, a bullish pattern.
The triangle fits perfectly with the long-term reclaim, predicting a similar rally.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.
He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.
Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.
He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.
