Key Takeaways
Following a 75% rebound since July 5, ORDI’s recovery has reached a critical juncture.
Despite the surge in bullish momentum, the asset has yet to overcome its significant descending resistance— a crucial hurdle that must be cleared to signal the onset of a new bull phase.
As ORDI’s price now slips, the depth and location of its next support level will offer vital clues about the potential start of a sustained bull run. In this analysis, we’ll examine the key factors determining whether ORDI can break through the resistance and embark on a fresh uptrend.”
ORDI’s price journey has been marked by significant fluctuations since its initial release.
After stabilizing at a support level of $3.50 in October 2023, the asset embarked on an uptrend, ultimately reaching a peak of $93 on January 2. However, this was followed by a sharp 46% decline to $46 on Jan. 25.
Despite a subsequent rebound, ORDI’s price formed a double top on March 6, triggering a reversal and the emergence of a new downtrend. This downtrend was characterized by a 67% drop to around $31 on May 1, followed by another failed attempt to establish an uptrend. The price was rejected at the descending resistance, resulting in a lower low of $26.50 on July 5.
Interestingly, this price action can be interpreted as a long-lasting correction, with a five-wave ABCDE pattern forming inside a triangle on the 4-hour chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also reached oversold conditions, suggesting that a potential low was in place.
ORDI recovered by 75% to a high of $43 on July 20 but was rejected again at the descending resistance. The asset is now on a downward trajectory, and its next move will be crucial in determining the start of a new bull phase.
A higher low above the July 5 low could confirm the onset of a fresh uptrend, while a decline below $30 may indicate that ORDI is still stuck in its corrective stage.
Looking at the hourly chart, we can see that ORDI made a five-wave increase from July 5 to July 20, followed by an ABC retracement to the 0.786 Fiboanacci level, testing the $30 level. Although it bounced on Aug. 1, the bulls remain sidelined.
If the buyers step in and drive the price past the descending resistance, that will signal the onset of a new bullish phase for ORDI. In that case, we could see a sustained increase in values above $50.
However, if the downfall continues below $30, it would likely mean ORDI has one lower low to potentially $20 before the whole ABCDE correction from March ends, and a new bull phase could begin.