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Jupiter (JUP) Drops 16% and Loses Support Level, More Downside Likely

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

  • Jupiter’s price has fallen below the 20 and 50 EMAs, indicating a bearish trend.
  • The funding rate has turned bearish, suggesting traders do not expect a bounce.
  • With overhead resistance at $1, JUP’s price will likely decline toward $0.63.

Over the last 30 days, Jupiter’s (JUP) price has decreased by 16%. This decline comes after the “Jupuary” airdrop, which led to notable selling pressure.

JUP’s price has slipped below a crucial support level following this decline, raising concerns about a prolonged downtrend. Now, the question is: Will JUP find a new support zone, or is a deeper correction close?

JUP Experiences More Losses

As of this writing, Jupiter’s price is around $0.75, a 25% decrease from the $1 mark it hit on Feb. 14. According to CCN, this decline was due to selling pressure and a decline in demand.

But beyond that, the technical outlook offers more insight into JUP’s price action and performance. On the 4-hour chart, Jupiter has fallen below two key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

As seen below, the 20 EMA (blue) is around $0.76, while the 50 EMA (yellow) is around $0.81, which is crucial support. These indicators’ positions are above JUP’s current price.

Typically, the trend is bearish when the EMA is above the price. When it is below it, the trend is bullish. Therefore, the current JUP technical setup presents a bearish scenario that could lower the price.

Jupiter price analysis
JUP/USDT 4-Hour Chart | Credit: TradingView

Amid this decline, Santiment’s data shows that JUP’s funding rate has turned negative.

The funding rate is the cost of holding an open position in the derivatives market. When the metric is positive, it means that long-positioned traders are paying a funding fee to shorts, and the average sentiment is bullish.

Therefore, this position indicates that the sentiment around JUP is bearish since shorts pay the funding fee. Should this remain the same, Jupiter’s price will likely keep trending downwards.

Sentiment around JUP is bearish
JUP/USDT Funding Rate | Credit: Santiment

JUP Price to Face Another Downtrend

Looking at the technical perspective again, the daily chart shows inconsistencies in Jupiter’s price action. As shown below, JUP’s price appears to have found support around $0.72.

However, the super trend indicator shows that it will likely face resistance ahead. This is because the red line of the Supertrend rests about the $1 mark.

Therefore, as JUP’s price attempts to reach this point, it might get pushed back. Using the Fibonacci retracement level, JUP has fallen below the 0.236 resistance at $0.82.

Due to this drop, the next target for the price could be around $0.63. However, if the broader market condition gets extremely bearish, the downturn could accelerate, possibly below $0.50.

JUP price analysis
JUP/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

Alternatively, the trend could change if Jupiter’s price breaks above the resistance at $0.82.

In that scenario, the altcoin could rise to $1.13. If buying pressure increases, the token’s value could rise as high as $1.44.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju

Victor is a reporter at CCN. Currently residing in Lagos, Nigeria, Victor focuses on writing news and providing readers with on-chain and technical analysis. Before he joined CCN, he worked as an analyst at BeInCrypto and AMBCrypto. He published several pieces at these outlets detailing investor behavior and analyzing price action across different cryptocurrencies. Victor holds a Bachelor's degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan. With his background, he finds it seamless to break down technical terms into simpler words while keeping readers engaged.
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