Key Takeaways
The MSTR price has decreased gradually since its launch on Sept. 26. The downward movement culminated with a new HMSTR all-time low of $0.0044 on Oct. 2.
However, the price has recovered, creating several higher lows and breaking out from a descending resistance trend line.
Let’s examine the HMSTR price action and see if it can sustain the breakout and recover some of the losses since the launch.
The hourly chart shows that HMSTR has broken out from the descending resistance trend line that existed since the launch.
This is a sign that the previous downward trend has ended. However, HMSTR failed to sustain its increase and was rejected by the $0.0052 horizontal resistance area (black icon).
Since the rejection, HMSTR has fallen and is approaching a short-term ascending support trend line (dashed) at $0.0048. If the price loses that support level, it could fall toward a new all-time low.
The hourly Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) gives a bearish reading. For the first time since breaking out from the trend line, the indicator made a bearish cross.
So, the hourly price analysis for HMSTR is bearish, suggesting that the price will fall to the ascending support trend line and potentially break down.
A closer look at the hourly time frame shows a head-and-shoulders pattern in place since the HMSTR all-time low. This pattern is considered bearish and usually leads to downward movements.
The pattern fits with the bearish indicator and price action readings. In this context, the previously outlined ascending support trend line acts as the pattern’s trend line.
A breakdown that travels the entire pattern’s height would take the HMSTR price to a new all-time low of $0.0041.
Conversely, a movement above the right shoulder high (red) at $0.0051 will invalidate this bearish outlook and could lead to a significant increase. At the current time, this seems unlikely.
Despite its breakout from a descending resistance trend line, the HMSTR trend is likely still bearish. This is accentuated by the failure to move above the $0.0052 horizontal area and creating a bearish head and shoulders pattern.
A breakdown from the pattern can trigger a decline to a new all-time low.