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Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Pattern Suggests a Bullish Phase Might Be Starting

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been undergoing a prolonged correction following a parabolic move to $0.486. The price has bounced from the recent low, suggesting a potential bottom formation.

The 4-hour chart shows a completed Elliott Wave corrective structure. In contrast, the 1-hour chart indicates an early-stage impulse wave that could confirm a trend reversal if it breaks above key resistance levels.

DOGE Price Analysis

DOGE has completed an extended five-wave Elliott Wave structure, peaking at $0.486. This was followed by an ABCDE corrective pattern that culminated in a descending wedge.

The final leg of the correction found support at $0.145, slightly below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which historically acts as a strong reversal zone.

DOGE price analysis
DOGEUSD | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

The breakout from the descending wedge structure will suggest bullish momentum is attempting to return.

However, the price still faces overhead resistance at the $0.175 level (0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the last downward move). A successful break above this level could confirm a trend reversal and open the door to a potential rally toward $0.215 and $0.24.

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The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been recovering from oversold conditions since March 11, supporting the case for a reversal.

If the RSI continues to climb and price action holds above $0.167, DOGE could enter a new uptrend.

However, failure to maintain support could result in further downside toward $0.16.

DOGE Price Prediction

The 1-hour chart provides a closer look at DOGE’s potential breakout structure. The price recently formed a minor higher low, indicating the possibility of an early impulse wave.

If this wave structure holds, DOGE could enter wave 3 of a five-wave upward movement.

DOGE price prediction
DOGEUSD | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

Currently, DOGE is testing support around $0.167 and must hold above this level to maintain bullish momentum.

The immediate resistance to watch is $0.174, which aligns with the 0.786 retracement level of the latest correction.

A successful breakout above $0.174 could validate the wave 3 extension, with Fibonacci targets at $0.194 (1.0 extension), $0.203 (1.272 extension), and $0.227 (1.618 extension).

If DOGE fails to break out and falls below $0.161, the bullish scenario would be invalidated, suggesting further downside risk.

The RSI on the 1-hour chart is currently neutral, indicating consolidation before the next move. A surge above 50 on the RSI would further confirm bullish momentum.

DOGE appears to be in the early stages of a potential trend reversal.

Confirmation above resistance levels would solidify a bullish breakout, while failure to hold key supports could lead to continued consolidation or further downside.

Key Levels to Watch

  • Immediate Resistance: $0.174 (0.786 Fibonacci retracement).
  • Key Resistance: $0.1875 (major breakout level).
  • Major Resistance: $0.2278 (1.618 Fibonacci extension).
  • Immediate Support: $0.167 (descending wedge breakout retest).
  • Critical Support: $0.161 (structural invalidation level).
  • Short-Term Target for Wave (iii): $0.203 if momentum sustains.
  • Invalidation Zone: Below $0.161, signaling extended downside.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Nikola Lazic is a cryptocurrency analyst and investor working in the industry since 2017. He holds a bachelor's degree in Sociology, which enables him to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently his preferred analytical tool is Elliott Wave Theory in combination with price action analysis. Combining his experience in trading and investing with knowledge in content writing he strives to bring the most accurate and actionable information. Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, On-chain metrics, Research reports.
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