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Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Rises 13% — Breaks Resistance as Uptrend Continuation Expected

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • DOGE peaked at $0.44, now in consolidation after wave 3.
  • Wave 5 target is $0.50, contingent on holding support.
  • Key support lies at $0.37, with deeper risk at $0.30.

Dogecoin (DOGE) has shown significant volatility recently, reaching a yearly high of $0.44 on Nov. 13 after breaking out of an ascending channel.

This parabolic rise followed an ascending channel breakout on Oct. 28 and a successful retest of support on Nov. 3.

However, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) signals overbought conditions. DOGE has entered a consolidation phase, raising questions about whether the rally has more room to run or if a deeper correction is ahead.

DOGE Price Analysis

On March 28, DOGE reached its yearly high of $0.22, completing a five-wave structure that began in October 2023.

This peak was followed by a corrective phase, forming a descending triangle that retraced to $0.090, where DOGE found strong horizontal support.

After bouncing from this level, DOGE encountered descending resistance on Sept.14, resulting in a brief pullback.

Despite this, DOGE maintained positive momentum by forming a higher low during the retracement. A new upward movement began on Sept. 16, breaking through descending resistance and reaching $0.13 by Sept. 28.

However, this rally was short-lived, as a sharp 24% drop erased gains and raised concerns about the bullish outlook.

DOGE price analysis
DOGEUSD new yearly high got the price overextended | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView 

The correction formed an ABCDE structure, followed by an ascending channel breakout on Oct. 28. After retesting the breakout level as support on Nov. 3, DOGE began another bullish move, peaking at a new yearly high of $0.44 on Nov. 13.

The current parabolic rise has pushed the daily RSI into overbought territory, raising questions about whether the rally has more room to run.

Key Observations

  1. Yearly High Achieved: DOGE reached a yearly high of $0.44 on Nov. 13.
  2. Correction Phase: DOGE is transitioning into a corrective structure after wave three.
  3. Ascending Channel Breakout: The breakout on Oct. 28 confirmed bullish momentum, followed by a retest on Nov. 3.
  4. Overbought RSI: The daily RSI indicates overbought conditions, suggesting limited immediate upside.

DOGE Price Prediction

The hourly chart shows DOGE completing its wave three high at $0.4372, followed by a descending triangle to a low of $0.36.

Additionally, if the previous assumption that the recent high was wave three of the higher degree count is correct, this could be the A wave from the coming ABC correction.  

DOGE price prediction
DOGEUSD two scenarios ahead | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView 

Wave B forms a 13% relief bounce toward $0.41 (the 0.786 Fib retracement of wave A). If wave B is validated by facing resistance, the price may enter wave C, targeting deeper retracement levels around $0.30 at the 1 Fib extension level.

The price action suggests that DOGE remains in a consolidation phase as it transitions from wave three to wave four.

A breakout direction from this corrective structure will determine whether DOGE resumes its bullish trajectory for wave five or extends its corrective phase. 

The target could surpass $0.50 for wave five, but failure to maintain support may lead to a more significant decline.

Key Levels to Watch

  1. Immediate Resistance: $0.41 (0.786 Fib of wave A).
  2. Support Levels: $0.37 (0.382 Fib)
  3. Wave 5 Target: $0.50 (upside potential following wave four correction).

Finally, the price must hold above $0.3370 for the bullish outlook to remain intact. A break below this level could extend the correction to $0.30 (1 Fib retracement), while a sustained move above $0.40 could set the stage for the next bullish wave.

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