Key Takeaways
Bitcoin spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) witnessed significant net outflows of $146 million on June 17, continuing the withdrawals in six days. This pattern reflects growing investor caution amid market volatility.
The price of Bitcoin is currently looking for support at $65,000 as it fell from its daily open of $66,500. This was a continuation of a downtrend from June 7, when it barely came to $72,000 in an attempt to surpass its May high.
Did it make a double top, indicating that it didn’t have the strength to proceed upward?
Fidelity’s FBTC led the outflows with $92 million on Monday, contributing to its $140 million outflows last week. Other funds like Ark Invest and 21Shares’ ARKB, Grayscale’s GBTC, and VanEck’s HODL also reported outflows, while Bitwise’s BITB saw minimal inflows.
This trend of outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs highlights investors’ cautious stance, reflecting broader concerns about digital assets’ sustainability and growth potential. This shift in investor sentiment followed a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting that maintained interest rates, contrasting with investor expectations of rate cuts.
Since peaking at nearly $74,000, Bitcoin has followed a descending channel. On May 17, it broke out, leading to a high of $71,800 on May 21. After falling back to $67,000 on 31, it attempted to continue its upward trend, but to no avail. The momentum was again stopped at the same level as on May 21.
Since June 7, when this second interaction with the $71,800 was made, we have seen a downturn. There are two potential outcomes to consider. First, the uptrend that began on May 1 might signal a major rally, possibly leading to a new all-time high.
If Bitcoin can rebound from the channel’s resistance and use it as support, it will enter its next bull phase of a five-wave pattern, potentially propelling it above $78,000 once this wave is complete.
Conversely, if Bitcoin reenters the descending channel, it may suggest a bearish trend. The recent rise could be seen as just a corrective three-wave pattern from its all-time high, indicating that Bitcoin is in a broader wave four correction, categorized as WXY waves, with a recent lower high possibly marking the end of wave X. This would set the stage for a potential decline to around $55,200.
The interaction of Bitcoin with the channel’s resistance at the 0.618 Fibonacci level of $62,500 will be crucial in determining which of these scenarios unfolds.