Token unlocks for VELO, KAITO, and OP could shift prices| Credit: Veronica Cestari
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Key Takeaways
VELO faces a 182 million token unlock (0.84% of supply) on Sept. 20.
KAITO’s 8.35 million unlock (3.15% of supply) could push the price to $0.96.
OP’s recurring unlocks, including the next one, add ongoing supply stress.
The Fed’s recent rate cut has injected fresh optimism into financial markets, boosting liquidity and risk appetite across assets.
Against this backdrop, upcoming token unlock events are drawing attention. For projects like VELO, KAITO, and Optimism (OP), these unlocks could serve as a catalyst, either fueling a new leg higher or triggering a correction.
Here’s a breakdown of each token’s outlook, backed by technical analysis.
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VELO is preparing to unlock 182 million tokens—equal to 0.84% of its circulating supply—on Sept. 20. While significant, the market is already showing signs of stress ahead of the event.
At press time, VELO trades at $0.015, down 5.50% in the lead-up. On the 4-hour chart, the Money Flow Index (MFI) has slipped below the 50.00 signal line, suggesting that selling pressure is starting to outweigh buying interest.
This setup points to potential downside pressure before and after the unlock, especially since VELO shows little sign of attracting new demand to absorb the additional supply. If this trend holds, the token could decline toward $0.012.
However, this prediction could be invalidated if buying volume unexpectedly rises and offsets the supply shock. In that case, VELO’s price might rebound toward $0.018, challenging near-term resistance.
Kaito (KAITO)
KAITO already faced a major unlock in August, releasing 23.35 million tokens, which drove the token’s price down 11.5% post-event.
Now, another 8.35 million tokens—about 3.15% of the released supply—are set to unlock on Sept. 20, 2025.
At press time, KAITO’s price trades at $1.16. On the daily chart, the token has formed a falling wedge pattern with lower highs and lower lows.
However, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has slipped below zero, signaling that capital outflows outweigh inflows.
Strong community sentiment tied to platform upgrades and higher engagement metrics may also provide support. If these factors hold, KAITO could break above the wedge’s upper trendline and rally toward $1.53.
Optimism (OP)
Optimism’s unlock schedule is less “one big bang” and more periodic vesting and scheduled cliff or linear unlocks. For instance, the Aug. 31, 2025, event unlocked 31.34 million OP, about 1.79% of its circulating supply.
At present, OP is hovering around key support levels, but the daily chart shows the token trapped inside a symmetrical triangle with declining volume.
Because token unlocks are recurring, cumulative supply pressure continues to build. If demand fails to absorb this supply, OP risks breaking below the triangle’s lower trendline.
In that case, the market value could sink beneath $0.60, exposing the altcoin to deeper losses.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Victor Olanrewaju is a crypto analyst and reporter at CCN with deep roots in on-chain research and technical analysis. His crypto journey began in 2017, but it was the 2020 Uniswap airdrop that sparked a full-time pivot into the space.
With a foundation in copywriting, Victor honed his craft creating high-converting content for leading crypto brokers — most notably an XRP price prediction that ranked #1 on Google during the 2021 bull run.
He later joined AMBCrypto in 2022, where he combined storytelling with technical and on-chain analysis to cover key market narratives.
In 2024, he expanded his expertise at BeInCrypto, collaborating with analysts and using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, and IntoTheBlock to break down Bitcoin and altcoin trends.
At CCN, Victor covers the top cryptocurrencies, memecoins, macro shifts, blending real-time insights with deep-dive metrics.
He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan, equipping him to simplify complex data for a wide audience. Follow his work or connect on LinkedIn or X.
